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The Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model is a benchmark model for pairwise comparisons between individuals. Despite recent progress on the first-order asymptotics of several popular procedures, the understanding of uncertainty quantification in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Chao Gao , Yandi Shen , Anderson Y. Zhang

Use of machine learning to estimate nuisance functions (e.g. outcomes models, propensity score models) in estimators used in causal inference is increasingly common, as it can mitigate bias due to model misspecification. However, it can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Rachael K. Ross , Lina M. Montoya , Dana E. Goin , Ivan Diaz , Audrey Renson

We describe a Monte Carlo method to approximate the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), when there are missing data and the observed data likelihood is not available in closed form. This method uses simulated missing data that are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Yun Ju Sung , Charles J. Geyer

While the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator under regularity conditions is long established, this paper derives explicit bounds for the bounded Wasserstein distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Andreas Anastasiou , Gesine Reinert

Consider a parametrized family of general hidden Markov models, where both the observed and unobserved components take values in a complete separable metric space. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson , Ramon van Handel

The Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) serves an important role in statistics and machine learning. In this article, for i.i.d. variables, we obtain constant-specified and sharp concentration inequalities and oracle inequalities for the MLE…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Xiaowei Yang , Xinqiao Liu , Haoyu Wei

We use the delta method and Stein's method to derive, under regularity conditions, explicit upper bounds for the distributional distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a $d$-dimensional parameter and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Andreas Anastasiou , Robert E. Gaunt

Active learning aims to efficiently build a labeled training set by strategically selecting samples to query labels from annotators. In this sequential process, each sample acquisition influences subsequent selections, causing dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Beyza Kalkanli , Tales Imbiriba , Stratis Ioannidis , Deniz Erdogmus , Jennifer Dy

The traditional maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is often of limited use in complex high-dimensional data due to the intractability of the underlying likelihood function. Maximum composite likelihood estimation (McLE) avoids full…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-18 Davide Ferrari , Guoqi Qian

The Laplace approximation (LA) has been proposed as a method for approximating the marginal likelihood of statistical models with latent variables. However, the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) based on the LA are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

In nonlinear deterministic parameter estimation, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is unable to attain the Cramer-Rao lower bound at low and medium signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) due the threshold and ambiguity phenomena. In order to…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Achraf Mallat , Sinan Gezici , Davide Dardari , Christophe Craeye , Luc Vandendorpe

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

We define a Maximum Likelihood (ML for short) estimator for the correlation function, {\xi}, that uses the same pair counting observables (D, R, DD, DR, RR) as the standard Landy and Szalay (1993, LS for short) estimator. The ML estimator…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-27 Eric Jones Baxter , Eduardo Rozo

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

This paper considers the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the joint distribution function of an interval censored survival time and a continuous mark variable. We provide a new explicit formula for the MLE in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-12 Marloes H. Maathuis , Jon A. Wellner

I describe a trick for training flow models using a prescribed rule as a surrogate for maximum likelihood. The utility of this trick is limited for non-conditional models, but an extension of the approach, applied to maximum likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 John S. Hyatt

Distributed statistical inference has recently attracted immense attention. The asymptotic efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the one-step MLE, and the aggregated estimating equation estimator are established for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Ping Zhou , Zhen Yu , Jingyi Ma , Maozai Tian , Ye Fan

The primary objective of this scholarly work is to develop two estimation procedures - maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and method of trimmed moments (MTM) - for the mean and variance of lognormal insurance payment severity data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function. We propose a new parameter fitting method, Minimum Probability Flow (MPF), which is applicable to any parametric model. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Peter Battaglino , Michael R. DeWeese

Introduced by Kiefer and Wolfowitz \cite{KW56}, the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) is a widely used methodology for learning mixture odels and empirical Bayes estimation. Sidestepping the non-convexity in mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Yury Polyanskiy , Yihong Wu