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Accurate modeling is essential in integer-valued real phenomena, including the distribution of entire data, zero-inflated (ZI) data, and discrete exceedances. The Poisson and Negative Binomial distributions, along with their ZI variants,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Touqeer Ahmad , Irshad Ahmad Arshad

Different from deep neural networks for non-graph data classification, graph neural networks (GNNs) leverage the information exchange between nodes (or samples) when representing nodes. The category distribution shows an imbalance or even a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Rui Wang , Weixuan Xiong , Qinghu Hou , Ou Wu

We consider the Gittins index for a normal distribution with unknown mean $\theta$ and known variance where $\theta$ has a normal prior. In addition to presenting some monotonicity properties of the Gittins index, we derive an approximation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yi-Ching Yao

This work presents the first statistical performance guarantees for group-invariant generative models. Many real data, such as images and molecules, are invariant to certain group symmetries, which can be taken advantage of to learn more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Ziyu Chen , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Wei Zhu

Estimating the structures at high or low quantiles has become an important subject and attracted increasing attention across numerous fields. However, due to data sparsity at tails, it usually is a challenging task to obtain reliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Yingying Zhang , Yuefeng Si , Guodong Li , Chil-Ling Tsai

Generative models based on variational autoencoders are a popular technique for detecting anomalies in images in a semi-supervised context. A common approach employs the anomaly score to detect the presence of anomalies, and it is known to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Muhammad Rashid , Elvio Amparore , Enrico Ferrari , Damiano Verda

Codifference is a commonly used measure of dependence for stable vectors and processes for which covariance is infinite. However, we argue that it can also be used for other heavy-tail distributions and it provides useful information for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Jakub Ślęzak

Score matching is an estimation procedure that has been developed for statistical models whose probability density function is known up to proportionality but whose normalizing constant is intractable, so that maximum likelihood is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jiazhen Xu , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

The probability and structure of co-occurrences of extreme values in multivariate data may critically depend on auxiliary information provided by covariates. In this contribution, we develop a flexible generalized additive modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

This paper introduces a new latent variable generative model able to handle high dimensional longitudinal data and relying on variational inference. The time dependency between the observations of an input sequence is modelled using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Clément Chadebec , Stéphanie Allassonnière

In this paper, we use the framework of mod-$\phi$ convergence to prove precise large or moderate deviations for quite general sequences of real valued random variables $(X_{n})_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$, which can be lattice or non-lattice…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Valentin Féray , Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

This paper investigates Frequentist consistency properties of the posterior distributions constructed via Generalized Variational Inference (GVI). A number of generic and novel strategies are given for proving consistency, relying on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Jeremias Knoblauch

Modelling excesses over a high threshold using the Pareto or generalized Pareto distribution (PD/GPD) is the most popular approach in extreme value statistics. This method typically requires high thresholds in order for the (G)PD to fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-13 Jan Beirlant , Elisabeth Joossens , Johan Segers

Detecting anomalies in large sets of observations is crucial in various applications, such as epidemiological studies, gene expression studies, and systems monitoring. We consider settings where the units of interest result in multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro , Ery Arias-Castro

We develop nested variational inference (NVI), a family of methods that learn proposals for nested importance samplers by minimizing an forward or reverse KL divergence at each level of nesting. NVI is applicable to many commonly-used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-22 Heiko Zimmermann , Hao Wu , Babak Esmaeili , Jan-Willem van de Meent

The chain graph model admits both undirected and directed edges in one graph, where symmetric conditional dependencies are encoded via undirected edges and asymmetric causal relations are encoded via directed edges. Though frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Ruixuan Zhao , Haoran Zhang , Junhui Wang

Motivated by the empirical observation of power-law distributions in the credits (e.g., ``likes'') of viral posts in social media, we introduce a high-dimensional tail index regression model and propose methods for estimation and inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-19 Yuya Sasaki , Jing Tao , Yulong Wang

The collective dynamics of neural populations are often characterized in terms of correlations in the spike activity of different neurons. Open questions surround the basic nature of these correlations. In particular, what leads to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-25 David Leen , Eric Shea-Brown

This paper examines the properties of the Gini coefficient estimator for gamma mixture populations and reveals the presence of bias. In contrast, we show that sampling from a gamma distribution yields an unbiased estimator, consistent with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo

Identifying anomalies refers to detecting samples that do not resemble the training data distribution. Many generative models have been used to find anomalies, and among them, generative adversarial network (GAN)-based approaches are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Laya Rafiee Sevyeri , Thomas Fevens