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We propose a new class of spatio-temporal models with unknown and banded autoregressive coefficient matrices. The setting represents a sparse structure for high-dimensional spatial panel dynamic models when panel members represent economic…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Yingying Ma , Hansheng Wang , Qiwei Yao

We consider a class of spatio-temporal models which extend popular econometric spatial autoregressive panel data models by allowing the scalar coefficients for each location (or panel) different from each other. To overcome the innate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-17 Baojun Dou , Maria Lucia Parrella , Qiwei Yao

In finance, economics and many other fields, observations in a matrix form are often generated over time. For example, a set of key economic indicators are regularly reported in different countries every quarter. The observations at each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Dan Yang

We consider a high-dimensional model in which variables are observed over time and space. The model consists of a spatio-temporal regression containing a time lag and a spatial lag of the dependent variable. Unlike classical spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-03 Hanno Reuvers , Etienne Wijler

Matrix-variate time series data are increasingly popular in economics, statistics, and environmental studies, among other fields. This paper develops regularized estimation methods for analyzing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Hangjin Jiang , Baining Shen , Yuzhou Li , Zhaoxing Gao

High-dimensional time series has diverse applications in econometrics and finance. Recent models for capturing temporal dependence have employed a bilinear representation for matrix time series, or the Tucker-decomposition based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Debika Ghosh , Samrat Roy , Nilanjana Chakraborty

We propose a parsimonious spatiotemporal model for time series data on a spatial grid. Our model is capable of dealing with high-dimensional time series data that may be collected at hundreds of locations and capturing the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Yuan Yan , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Marc G. Genton

This article proposes novel estimation methods for the Matrix Autoregressive (MAR) model, specifically adaptations of the Yule-Walker equations and Burg's method, addressing limitations in existing techniques. The MAR model, by maintaining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Kamil Kołodziejski

This study introduces a novel spatial autoregressive model in which the dependent variable is a function that may exhibit functional autocorrelation with the outcome functions of nearby units. This model can be characterized as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-02 Tadao Hoshino

Compositional data, such as regional shares of economic sectors or property transactions, are central to understanding structural change in economic systems across space and time. This paper introduces a spatiotemporal multivariate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-16 Matthias Eckardt , Philipp Otto

We develop a new methodology for forecasting matrix-valued time series with historical matrix data and auxiliary vector time series data. We focus on a time series of matrices defined on a static 2-D spatial grid and an auxiliary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Hu Sun , Zuofeng Shang , Yang Chen

Contemporary time series analysis has seen more and more tensor type data, from many fields. For example, stocks can be grouped according to Size, Book-to-Market ratio, and Operating Profitability, leading to a 3-way tensor observation at…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-05 Zebang Li , Han Xiao

The classical vector autoregressive model is a fundamental tool for multivariate time series analysis. However, it involves too many parameters when the number of time series and lag order are even moderately large. This paper proposes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Di Wang , Yao Zheng , Heng Lian , Guodong Li

Recently, matrix-valued time series data have attracted significant attention in the literature with the recognition of threshold nonlinearity representing a significant advance. However, given the fact that a matrix is a two-array…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Cheng Yu , Dong Li , Xinyu Zhang , Howell Tong

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models provide a flexible framework for characterizing dynamic dependence in multivariate spatio-temporal systems, but their unrestricted estimation becomes infeasible when multiple variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Peiliang Bai

Time series of individual subjects have become a common data type in psychological research. These data allow one to estimate models of within-subject dynamics, and thereby avoid the notorious problem of making within-subjects inferences…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-16 Jonas M B Haslbeck , Laura F Bringmann , Lourens J Waldorp

We propose a novel cointegrated autoregressive model for matrix-valued time series, with bi-linear cointegrating vectors corresponding to the rows and columns of the matrix data. Compared to the traditional cointegration analysis, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Zebang Li , Han Xiao

We introduce Spatio-Temporal Momentum strategies, a class of models that unify both time-series and cross-sectional momentum strategies by trading assets based on their cross-sectional momentum features over time. While both time-series and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-08 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

The availability of multidimensional economic datasets has grown significantly in recent years. An example is bilateral trade values across goods among countries, comprising three dimensions -- importing countries, exporting countries, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-24 Yaling Qi
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