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We consider the problem of transfer learning in an online setting. Different tasks are presented sequentially and processed by a within-task algorithm. We propose a lifelong learning strategy which refines the underlying data representation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-14 Pierre Alquier , The Tien Mai , Massimiliano Pontil

We provide consistent random algorithms for sequential decision under partial monitoring, i.e. when the decision maker does not observe the outcomes but receives instead random feedback signals. Those algorithms have no internal regret in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-02-23 Vianney Perchet

We study online aggregation of the predictions of experts, and first show new second-order regret bounds in the standard setting, which are obtained via a version of the Prod algorithm (and also a version of the polynomially weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-11 Pierre Gaillard , Gilles Stoltz , Tim Van Erven

This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

We consider the problem of sequential hypothesis testing by betting. For a general class of composite testing problems -- which include bounded mean testing, equal mean testing for bounded random tuples, and some key ingredients of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Ian Waudby-Smith , Ricardo Sandoval , Michael I. Jordan

Theorem 1 in Bikhchandani & Segal (2011; Theoretical Economics) suggests that a complete, transitive, monotonic, and continuous preference is regret based if and only if it is expected utility. Their Proposition 1 suggests that transitivity…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-02 Yuan Chang , Shuo Li Liu

We present an algorithm guaranteeing dynamic regret bounds for online omniprediction with long term constraints. The goal in this recently introduced problem is for a learner to generate a sequence of predictions which are broadcast to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Yahav Bechavod , Jiuyao Lu , Aaron Roth

We revisit the classical problem of universal prediction of stochastic sequences with a finite time horizon $T$ known to the learner. The question we investigate is whether it is possible to derive vanishing regret bounds that hold with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Matthias Frey , Jonathan H. Manton , Jingge Zhu

We study the adversarial online learning problem and create a completely online algorithmic framework that has data dependent regret guarantees in both full expert feedback and bandit feedback settings. We study the expected performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

We aim to design strategies for sequential decision making that adjust to the difficulty of the learning problem. We study this question both in the setting of prediction with expert advice, and for more general combinatorial decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-02 Wouter M. Koolen , Tim van Erven

We study the distribution of regret in stochastic multi-armed bandits and episodic reinforcement learning through a unified framework. We formalize a distributional regret bound as a probabilistic guarantee that holds uniformly over all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Harin Lee , Min-hwan Oh

Inspired by the connection between classical regret measures employed in universal prediction and R\'{e}nyi divergence, we introduce a new class of universal predictors that depend on a real parameter $\alpha\geq 1$. This class interpolates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Marco Bondaschi , Michael Gastpar

One way to make decisions under uncertainty is to select an optimal option from a possible range of options, by maximizing the expected utilities derived from a probability model. However, under severe uncertainty, identifying precise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Nawapon Nakharutai , Sébastien Destercke , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

Robot decision-making increasingly relies on data-driven human prediction models when operating around people. While these models are known to mispredict in out-of-distribution interactions, only a subset of prediction errors impact…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Kensuke Nakamura , Ran Tian , Andrea Bajcsy

We consider the setting of iterative learning control, or model-based policy learning in the presence of uncertain, time-varying dynamics. In this setting, we propose a new performance metric, planning regret, which replaces the standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Naman Agarwal , Elad Hazan , Anirudha Majumdar , Karan Singh

We study batch learning with log-loss in the individual setting, where the outcome sequence is deterministic. Because empirical statistics are not directly applicable in this regime, obtaining regret guarantees for batch learning has long…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yaniv Fogel , Meir Feder

In this paper, we investigate the problem of \textit{episodic reinforcement learning} with quantum oracles for state evolution. To this end, we propose an \textit{Upper Confidence Bound} (UCB) based quantum algorithmic framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Bhargav Ganguly , Yulian Wu , Di Wang , Vaneet Aggarwal

In practical applications, data is used to make decisions in two steps: estimation and optimization. First, a machine learning model estimates parameters for a structural model relating decisions to outcomes. Second, a decision is chosen to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Samuel Tan , Peter I. Frazier

Counterfactual Regret Minimization (CFR) is an efficient no-regret learning algorithm for decision problems modeled as extensive games. CFR's regret bounds depend on the requirement of perfect recall: players always remember information…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-05-04 Marc Lanctot , Richard Gibson , Neil Burch , Martin Zinkevich , Michael Bowling

We prove that a classic sub-Gaussian mixture proposed by Robbins in a stochastic setting actually satisfies a path-wise (deterministic) regret bound. For every path in a natural ``Ville event'' $\mathcal E_\alpha$, this regret till time $T$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Shubhada Agrawal , Aaditya Ramdas