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Current approaches to design flood-sensitive infrastructure typically assume a stationary rainfall distribution and neglect many uncertainties. These assumptions are inconsistent with observations that suggest intensifying extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-11 Sanjib Sharma , Ben Seiyon Lee , Robert E. Nicholas , Klaus Keller

With a changing climate, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are likely to increase, posing a threat to infrastructure systems' resilience. The response of infrastructure systems to localised failures depends on whether…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-21 Qianqian Li , Giuliano Punzo , Craig Robson , Hadi Arbabi , Martin Mayfield

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

The evaluation of possible climate change consequence on extreme rainfall has significant implications for the design of engineering structure and socioeconomic resources development. While many studies have assessed the impact of climate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-02 Poulomi Ganguli , Paulin Coulibaly

Flood-related risks to people and property are expected to increase in the future due to environmental and demographic changes. It is important to quantify and effectively communicate flood hazards and exposure to inform the design and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Sanjib Sharma , Michael Gomez , Klaus Keller , Robert Nicholas , Alfonso Mejia

Climate change is expected to intensify rainfall and other hazards, increasing disruptions in urban transportation systems. Designing effective adaptation strategies is challenging due to the long-term, sequential nature of infrastructure…

Climate change and rapid urbanization have intensified the frequency and severity of flooding, resulting in substantial damage to communities and infrastructure. Existing research on flood risk addresses a wide range of dimensions, ranging…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-15 Nazgol Tabasi , Mohammad Fereshtehpour , Bardia Roghani

Low-lying coastal cities across the world are vulnerable to the combined impact of rainfall and storm tide. However, existing approaches lack the ability to model the combined effect of these flood mechanisms. Thus, to increase flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-30 Yawen Shen , Navid Tahvildari , Mohamed M Morsy , Chris Huxley , T. Donna Chen , Jonathan L. Goodall

Atlantic Canada faces significant hurricane threats from damaging winds and coastal flooding that are projected to intensify under climate change. This study adopts a two-stage framework. First, the evolution of wind and coastal-flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki , Alejandro Di Luca

Climate change is expected to intensify rainfall and, consequently, pluvial flooding, leading to increased disruptions in urban transportation systems over the coming decades. Designing effective adaptation strategies is challenging due to…

The resilience of electric power grids is threatened by natural hazards. Climate-related hazards are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Statistical analyses clearly demonstrate a rise in the number of incidents (power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-30 George Karagiannakis , Mathaios Panteli , Sotirios Argyroudis

Understanding the spatial extent of extreme precipitation is necessary for determining flood risk and adequately designing infrastructure (e.g., stormwater pipes) to withstand such hazards. While environmental phenomena typically exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-25 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Raphaël Huser

The measurement and mapping of transportation network vulnerability to natural hazards constitute subjects of global interest, especially due to climate change, and for a sustainable development agenda. During a flood, some elements of a…

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

To mitigate the risk posed by extreme rainfall events, we require statistical models that reliably capture extremes in continuous space with dependence. However, assuming a stationary dependence structure in such models is often erroneous,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-15 K. R. Saunders , A. G. Stephenson , D. J. Karoly

Decisions related to electric power systems planning and operations rely on assumptions and insights informed by historic weather data and records of past performance. Evolving climate trends are, however, changing the energy use patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-09 Anna M. Brockway , Laurel N. Dunn

Infrastructure networks are increasingly vulnerable to natural hazards and design flaws, making resilience assessment essential. This paper presents a scenario-based framework to evaluate network vulnerability by combining local measures…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. Saei , N. Tajik

The application of models to assess the risk of the physical impacts of weather and climate and their subsequent consequences for society and business is of the utmost importance in our changing climate. The operation of such models is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Blair Edwards , Paolo Fraccaro , Nikola Stoyanov , Nelson Bore , Julian Kuehnert , Kommy Weldemariam , Anne Jones

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

Ice storms are extreme weather events that can have devastating implications for the sustainability of natural ecosystems as well as man made infrastructure. Ice storms are caused by a complex mix of atmospheric conditions and are among the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-15 Ranjini Swaminathan , Mohan Sridharan , Katharine Hayhoe
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