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Learning dynamical systems from incomplete or noisy data is inherently ill-posed, as a single observation may correspond to multiple plausible futures. While physics-based ensemble forecasting relies on perturbing initial states to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stephane Gaudreault

We focus on chaotic dynamical systems and analyze their time series with the use of autoencoders, i.e., configurations of neural networks that map identical output to input. This analysis results in the determination of the latent space…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-06-19 N. Almazova , G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

In data-driven modeling of spatiotemporal phenomena careful consideration often needs to be made in capturing the dynamics of the high wavenumbers. This problem becomes especially challenging when the system of interest exhibits shocks or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Alec J. Linot , Joshua W. Burby , Qi Tang , Prasanna Balaprakash , Michael D. Graham , Romit Maulik

Designing effective reduced-order models (ROMs) for parametrized transport-dominated problems remains challenging because of the well-known Kolmogorov barrier. Autoencoder-based nonlinear ROMs have been developed to improve the compression…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Meng Li , Yang Xiang , Zhichao Peng

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani

State estimation is required whenever we deal with high-dimensional dynamical systems, as the complete measurement is often unavailable. It is key to gaining insight, performing control or optimizing design tasks. Most deep learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Yash Kumar , Souvik Chakraborty

Accurately solving partial differential equations (PDEs) is essential across many scientific disciplines. However, high-fidelity solvers can be computationally prohibitive, motivating the development of reduced-order models (ROMs).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 William Anderson , Seung Whan Chung , Robert Stephany , Youngsoo Choi

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

We investigate the Continuous-Time Koopman Autoencoder (CT-KAE) as a lightweight surrogate model for long-horizon ocean state forecasting in a two-layer quasi-geostrophic (QG) system. By projecting nonlinear dynamics into a latent space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Rares Grozavescu , Pengyu Zhang , Mark Girolami , Etienne Meunier

Our ability to predict, control, and ultimately understand complex systems rests on discovering the equations that govern their dynamics. Identifying these equations directly from noisy, limited observations has therefore become a central…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Yuzheng Zhang , Weizhen Li , Rui Carvalho

We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

The forecasting and computation of the stability of chaotic systems from partial observations are tasks for which traditional equation-based methods may not be suitable. In this computational paper, we propose data-driven methods to (i)…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-26 Elise Özalp , Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

Deep learning-based reduced order models (DL-ROMs) have been recently proposed to overcome common limitations shared by conventional ROMs - built, e.g., exclusively through proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) - when applied to nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Federico Fatone , Stefania Fresca , Andrea Manzoni

Data-driven emulation of nonlinear dynamics is challenging due to long-range skill decay that often produces physically unrealistic outputs. Recent advances in generative modeling aim to address these issues by providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Juan Nathaniel , Pierre Gentine

Quantum reservoir computing has emerged as a promising paradigm for harnessing quantum systems to process temporal data efficiently by bypassing the costly training of gradient-based learning methods. Here, we demonstrate the capability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 Qingyu Li , Chiranjib Mukhopadhyay , Ludovico Minati , Abolfazl Bayat

This paper presents a new robust data-driven predictive control scheme for unknown linear time-invariant systems by using input-state-output or input-output data based on whether the state is measurable. To remove the need for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-17 Kaijian Hu , Tao Liu

Trajectory-wise data-driven reduced order models (ROMs) tend to be sensitive to training data, and thus lack robustness. We propose to construct a robust stochastic ROM closure (S-ROM) from data consisting of multiple trajectories from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Fei Lu , Changhong Mou , Honghu Liu , Traian Iliescu

The main goal of this work is to develop a data-driven Reduced Order Model (ROM) strategy from high-fidelity simulation result data of a Full Order Model (FOM). The goal is to predict at lower computational cost the time evolution of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Azzeddine Tiba , Thibault Dairay , Florian de Vuyst , Iraj Mortazavi , Juan-Pedro Berro Ramirez

Many safety-critical scientific and engineering systems evolve according to differential-algebraic equations (DAEs), where dynamical behavior is constrained by physical laws and admissibility conditions. In practice, these systems operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Minxing Zheng , Zewei Deng , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu