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A machine learning technique is proposed for quantifying uncertainty in power system dynamics with spatiotemporally correlated stochastic forcing. We learn one-dimensional linear partial differential equations for the probability density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Tyler E. Maltba , Vishwas Rao , Daniel Adrian Maldonado

This paper develops a stochastic programming framework for multi-agent systems where task decomposition, assignment, and scheduling problems are simultaneously optimized. The framework can be applied to heterogeneous mobile robot teams with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Bo Fu , William Smith , Denise Rizzo , Matthew Castanier , Maani Ghaffari , Kira Barton

In order to protect the environment and address fossil fuel scarcity, renewable energy is increasingly used for power generation. However, due to the uncertainties it brings to electricity production, deterministic optimization is no longer…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Shuhan Lyu

This book covers a wide range of problems involving the applications of stochastic processes, stochastic calculus, large deviation theory, group representation theory and quantum statistics to diverse fields in dynamical systems,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-08-13 Harish Parthasarathy

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

In this ongoing work, we are interested in multiprocessor energy efficient systems, where task durations are not known in advance, but are know stochastically. More precisely, we consider global scheduling algorithms for frame-based…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2008-09-25 Vandy Berten , Joël Goossens

Dispatchability of renewable energy sources and inflexible loads can be achieved using a volatility-compensating energy storage. However, as the future power outputs of the inflexible devices are uncertain, the computation of a dispatch…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-25 R. R. Appino , J. Á. González Ordiano , R. Mikut , V. Hagenmeyer , T. Faulwasser

This paper develops a sequential-linearization feedback optimization framework for driving nonlinear dynamical systems to an optimal steady state. A fundamental challenge in feedback optimization is the requirement of accurate first-order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Shijie Huang , Sergio Grammatico

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

We consider sequences-indexed by time (discrete stages)-of families of multistage stochastic optimization problems. At each time, the optimization problems in a family are parameterized by some quantities (initial states, constraint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Michel de Lara

An operating entity utilizing community-integrated energy systems with a large number of small-scale distributed energy sources can easily trade with existing distribution markets. To solve the energy management and pricing problem of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-23 Yang Li , Bin Wang , Zhen Yang , Jiazheng Li , Chen Chen

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

We study linear policy approximations for the risk-conscious operation of an industrial energy system with uncertain wind power, significant and variable electricity demand, and high thermal output, as found in a modern foundry. The system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Johannes Nicklaus , Lea Brass , Gunnar Schubert

We consider multistage stochastic optimization problems involving multiple units. Each unit is a (small) control system. Static constraints couple units at each stage. We present a mix of spatial and temporal decompositions to tackle such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Michel de Lara , François Pacaud

Despite substantial improvement in the development of forecasting approaches, conditional and dynamic uncertainty estimates ought to be accommodated in decision-making in power system operation and market, in order to yield either…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-20 Faranak Golestaneh , Pierre Pinson , Hoay Beng Gooi

The increasing amount of controllable generation and consumption in distribution grids poses a severe challenge in keeping voltage values within admissible ranges. Existing approaches have considered different optimal power flow…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-25 Miguel Picallo , Adolfo Anta , Bart De Schutter

Optimization under uncertainty deals with the problem of optimizing stochastic cost functions given some partial information on their inputs. These problems are extremely difficult to solve and yet pervade all areas of technological and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-13 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Abolfazl Ramezanpour , Riccardo Zecchina

We introduce the concept of programmable feature engineering for time series modeling and propose a feature programming framework. This framework generates large amounts of predictive features for noisy multivariate time series while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Alex Reneau , Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu , Chenwei Xu , Weijian Li , Ammar Gilani , Han Liu
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