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High-fidelity (HF) data are often expensive to collect and therefore scarce, making conditional quantiles difficult to estimate accurately. We propose a two-stage, model-agnostic method for multi-fidelity quantile regression. The central…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yixiang Liu , Yao Zhang

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

This paper presents a selective survey of recent developments in statistical inference and multiple testing for high-dimensional regression models, including linear and logistic regression. We examine the construction of confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo , Yin Xia

This paper deals with surrogate modelling of a computer code output in a hierarchical multi-fidelity context, i.e., when the output can be evaluated at different levels of accuracy and computational cost. Using observations of the output at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Baptiste Kerleguer , Claire Cannamela , Josselin Garnier

In many computational science and engineering applications, the output of a system of interest corresponding to a given input can be queried at different levels of fidelity with different costs. Typically, low-fidelity data is cheap and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Sami Khairy , Prasanna Balaprakash

Aircraft design optimization traditionally relies on computationally expensive simulation techniques such as Finite Element Method (FEM) and Finite Volume Method (FVM), which, while accurate, can significantly slow down the design iteration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Apurba Sarker

Accurate aerodynamic prediction often relies on high-fidelity simulations; however, their prohibitive computational costs severely limit their applicability in data-driven modeling. This limitation motivates the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Javier Nieto-Centenero , Esther Andrés , Rodrigo Castellanos

We address the challenge of correlated predictors in high-dimensional GLMs, where regression coefficients range from sparse to dense, by proposing a data-driven random projection method. This is particularly relevant for applications where…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Roman Parzer , Peter Filzmoser , Laura Vana-Gür

Computational simulations with different fidelity have been widely used in engineering design. A high-fidelity (HF) model is generally more accurate but also more time-consuming than an low-fidelity (LF) model. To take advantages of both HF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Maolin Shi , Shuo Wang , Wei Sun , Liye Lv , Xueguan Song

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Surrogate modeling is an essential data-driven technique for quantifying relationships between input variables and system responses in manufacturing and engineering systems. Two major challenges limit its effectiveness: (1) large data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Manan Mehta , Zhiqiao Dong , Yuhang Yang , Chenhui Shao

Inspired by multi-fidelity methods in computer simulations, this article introduces procedures to design surrogates for the input/output relationship of a high-fidelity code. These surrogates should be learned from runs of both the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Simon Foucart , Nicolas Hengartner

We propose a parametric sampling strategy for the reduction of large-scale PDE systems with multidimensional input parametric spaces by leveraging models of different fidelity. The design of this methodology allows a user to adaptively…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Manisha Chetry , Domenico Borzacchiello , Lucas Lestandi , Luisa Rocha Da Silva

We present an approach for constructing a surrogate from ensembles of information sources of varying cost and accuracy. The multifidelity surrogate encodes connections between information sources as a directed acyclic graph, and is trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-25 Alex Gorodetsky , John D. Jakeman , Gianluca Geraci

High-fidelity physics simulations are powerful tools in the design and optimization of charged particle accelerators. However, the computational burden of these simulations often limits their use in practice for design optimization and…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2020-04-15 Auralee Edelen , Nicole Neveu , Yannick Huber , Mattias Frey , Christopher Mayes , Andreas Adelmann

Mechanisms are designed to perform functions in various fields. Often, there is no unique mechanism that performs a well-defined function. For example, vehicle suspensions are designed to improve driving performance and ride comfort, but…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Sumin Lee , Namwoo Kang

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

It is common in machine learning to estimate a response $y$ given covariate information $x$. However, these predictions alone do not quantify any uncertainty associated with said predictions. One way to overcome this deficiency is with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Chancellor Johnstone , Eugene Ndiaye

Low-dimensional embeddings for data from disparate sources play critical roles in multi-modal machine learning, multimedia information retrieval, and bioinformatics. In this paper, we propose a supervised dimensionality reduction method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Yanjun Li , Bihan Wen , Hao Cheng , Yoram Bresler