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Accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting is critical for grid dispatch and reserve management, yet remains challenging due to the non-stationary, condition-dependent nature of wind generation. Meteorological exogenous variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Cao Yuan , Junjun Wang

Herein I propose a multi-scale dynamical analysis to facilitate the physical interpretation of tide gauge records. The technique uses graphical diagrams. It is applied to six secular-long tide gauge records representative of the world…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-24 Nicola Scafetta

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

Machine learning (ML)-based models have demonstrated high skill and computational efficiency, often outperforming conventional physics-based models in weather and subseasonal predictions. While prior studies have assessed their fidelity in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-13 Ziming Chen , L. Ruby Leung , Wenyu Zhou , Jian Lu , Sandro W. Lubis , Ye Liu , Chuan-Chieh Chang , Bryce E. Harrop , Ya Wang , Mingshi Yang , Gan Zhang , Yun Qian

Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs) are pivotal in marine exploration, but their sensors' accuracy is compromised by the dynamic marine environment. Traditional calibration methods fall short in these conditions. This paper introduces a deep…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Yi Shen , Hao Liu , Chang Zhou , Wentao Wang , Zijun Gao , Qi Wang

A disentangled representation of a data set should be capable of recovering the underlying factors that generated it. One question that arises is whether using Euclidean space for latent variable models can produce a disentangled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Luis A. Pérez Rey

We develop an unsupervised machine learning algorithm for the automated discovery and identification of traveling waves in spatio-temporal systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). Our method uses sparse regression and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-05-20 Ariana Mendible , Steven L. Brunton , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Wes Lowrie , J. Nathan Kutz

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood

Atmospheric blocking events drive persistent weather extremes in midlatitudes, but isolating the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) from chaotic internal atmospheric variability on these events remains a challenge. We address this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-06 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Wenchang Yang , Gabriel A. Vecchi

Ocean current, fluid mechanics, and many other spatio-temporal physical dynamical systems are essential components of the universe. One key characteristic of such systems is that certain physics laws -- represented as ordinary/partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Yu Huang , James Li , Min Shi , Hanqi Zhuang , Xingquan Zhu , Laurent Chérubin , James VanZwieten , Yufei Tang

Autonomous robots are increasingly deployed to estimate spatiotemporal fields (e.g., wind, temperature, gas concentration) that vary across space and time. We consider environments divided into non-overlapping regions with distinct spatial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kaleb Ben Naveed , Haejoon Lee , Dimitra Panagou

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) learn representations of data by jointly training a probabilistic encoder and decoder network. Typically these models encode all features of the data into a single variable. Here we are interested in learning…

We present a novel approach to EEG decoding for non-invasive brain machine interfaces (BMIs), with a focus on motor-behavior classification. While conventional convolutional architectures such as EEGNet and DeepConvNet are effective in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Tian Lan

Disentangled sequential autoencoders (DSAEs) represent a class of probabilistic graphical models that describes an observed sequence with dynamic latent variables and a static latent variable. The former encode information at a frame rate…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Yin-Jyun Luo , Sebastian Ewert , Simon Dixon

Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

Accurately quantifying uncertainty in predictions and projections arising from irreducible internal climate variability is critical for informed decision making. Such uncertainty is typically assessed using ensembles produced with physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Parsa Gooya , Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso , Johannes Exenberger

Characterizing the neural encoding of behavior remains a challenging task in many research areas due in part to complex and noisy spatiotemporal dynamics of evoked brain activity. An important aspect of modeling these neural encodings…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Pengfei Sun , David A. Moses , Edward Chang

A simple analytical/numerical model has been developed for computing the evolution, over periods of up to a few hours, of the current and temperature profile in the upper layer of the ocean. The model is based upon conservation laws for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alastair D. Jenkins , Brian Ward

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDE) have been trained as both Variational Autoencoders, and as GANs. However, the resulting Stochastic Differential Equations can be hard to interpret or analyse due to the generic nature of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Simon M. Koop , Mark A. Peletier , Jacobus W. Portegies , Vlado Menkovski

Traffic forecasting, crucial for urban planning, requires accurate predictions of spatial-temporal traffic patterns across urban areas. Existing research mainly focuses on designing complex models that capture spatial-temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Jiarui Sun , Yujie Fan , Chin-Chia Michael Yeh , Wei Zhang , Girish Chowdhary