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Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

We study a family of binary state, socially-inspired contagion models which incorporate imitation limited by an aversion to complete conformity. We uncover rich behavior in our models whether operating with either probabilistic or…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-03-08 Peter Sheridan Dodds , Kameron Decker Harris , Christopher M. Danforth

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on random networks. By studying temporal evolution and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Mohammed Ali Saif

Disease awareness in infection dynamics can be modeled with adaptive contact networks whose rewiring rules reflect the attempt by susceptibles to avoid infectious contacts. Simulations of this type of models show an active phase with…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-12-06 Stefan Wieland , Tomas Aquino , Ana Nunes

In this paper we introduce a novel description of the equilibrium state of a bond percolation process on random graphs using the exact method of generating functions. This allows us to find the expected size of the giant connected component…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Peter Mann , V. Anne Smith , John Mitchell , Simon Dobson

The fundamental models of epidemiology describe the progression of an infectious disease through a population using compartmentalized differential equations, but do not incorporate population-level heterogeneity in infection susceptibility.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-04 Christopher Rose , Andrew J. Medford , C. Franklin Goldsmith , Tejs Vegge , Joshua S. Weitz , Andrew A. Peterson

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

In the study of epidemic dynamics a fundamental question is whether a pathogen initially affecting only one individual will give rise to a limited outbreak or to a widespread pandemic. The answer to this question crucially depends not only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-12 Alfredo De Bellis , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

Interactions among multiple infectious agents are increasingly recognized as a fundamental issue in the understanding of key questions in public health, regarding pathogen emergence, maintenance, and evolution. The full description of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-21 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

We study a dynamics of the epidemiological infection spreading at different values of the risk factor $\beta$ (a control parameter) with the using of dynamic Monte Carlo approach (DMC). In our toy model, the infection transmits due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-01 Gennadiy Burlak

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

We performed a thorough sensitivity analysis of the herd immunity threshold for discrete-time SIR compartmental models with a static network structure. We find unexpectedly that these models violate classical intuition which holds that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-27 Sinan A. Ozbay , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximilian M. Nguyen

We study the competition of two spreading entities, for example innovations, in complex contagion processes in complex networks. We develop an analytical framework and examine the role of dual users, i.e. agents using both technologies.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-30 Byungjoon Min , Maxi San Miguel

The majority of research on epidemics relies on models which are formulated in continuous-time. However, real-world epidemic data is gathered and processed in a digital manner, which is more accurately described by discrete-time epidemic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Bastian Prasse , Piet Van Mieghem

Complex contagions describe diffusion of behaviors in a social network in settings where spreading requires the influence by two or more neighbors. In a $k$-complex contagion, a cluster of nodes are initially infected, and additional nodes…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Roozbeh Ebrahimi , Jie Gao , Golnaz Ghasemiesfeh , Grant Schoenebeck

Infections diseases are marked by recovering time distributions which can be far from the exponential one associated with Markovian/Poisson processes, broadly applied in epidemic compartmental models. In the present work, we tackled this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-03 José Carlos M. Silva , Diogo H. Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

Cyclic dominance between species may yield spiral waves that are known to provide a mechanism enabling persistent species coexistence. This observation holds true even in presence of spatial heterogeneity in the form of quenched disorder.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-05 Ryan Baker , Michel Pleimling

The dynamics of many epidemic compartmental models for infectious diseases that spread in a single host population present a second-order phase transition. This transition occurs as a function of the infectivity parameter, from the absence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-02 Alex Arenas , Antonio Garijo , Sergio Gómez , Jordi Villadelprat

To accurately represent disease spread, epidemiological models must account for the complex network topology and contact heterogeneity. Traditionally, most studies have used random heterogeneous networks, which ignore correlations between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-15 Elad Korngut , Michael Assaf