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Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Spatio-temporal forecasting is challenging attributing to the high nonlinearity in temporal dynamics as well as complex location-characterized patterns in spatial domains, especially in fields like weather forecasting. Graph convolutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Haitao Lin , Zhangyang Gao , Yongjie Xu , Lirong Wu , Ling Li , Stan. Z. Li

Recently, there has been a surge of research on data-driven weather forecasting systems, especially applications based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These are usually trained on atmospheric data represented on regular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-18 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

Climate change has been a common interest and the forefront of crucial political discussion and decision-making for many years. Shallow clouds play a significant role in understanding the Earth's climate, but they are challenging to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-13 Tashin Ahmed , Noor Hossain Nuri Sabab

Collecting time series data spatially distributed in many locations is often important for analyzing climate change and its impacts on ecosystems. However, comprehensive spatial data collection is not always feasible, requiring us to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Shihori Koyama , Daisuke Inoue , Hiroaki Yoshida , Kazuyuki Aihara , Gouhei Tanaka

Spatial-temporal graph modeling is an important task to analyze the spatial relations and temporal trends of components in a system. Existing approaches mostly capture the spatial dependency on a fixed graph structure, assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Manmeet Singh , Bipin Kumar , Suryachandra Rao , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Ravi S Nanjundiah , Dev Niyogi

Air quality prediction is a typical spatio-temporal modeling problem, which always uses different components to handle spatial and temporal dependencies in complex systems separately. Previous models based on time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Jing Xu , Shuo Wang , Na Ying , Xiao Xiao , Jiang Zhang , Yun Cheng , Zhiling Jin , Gangfeng Zhang

Spatial-temporal data forecasting of traffic flow is a challenging task because of complicated spatial dependencies and dynamical trends of temporal pattern between different roads. Existing frameworks typically utilize given spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Mengzhang Li , Zhanxing Zhu

In this paper, we propose an end-to-end learning network to predict future frames in a point cloud sequence. As main novelty, an initial layer learns topological information of point clouds as geometric features, to form representative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Pedro Gomes , Silvia Rossi , Laura Toni

Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts help with managing the marine ecosystem and the aquaculture impacted by anthropogenic climate change. Numerical dynamical models are resource intensive for SST forecasts; machine learning (ML) models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Karin R. Bryan

Accurate rainfall forecasting, particularly for extreme events, remains a significant challenge in climatology and the Earth system. This paper presents novel physics-informed Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) combined with extreme-value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Kiattikun Chobtham , Kanoksri Sarinnapakorn , Kritanai Torsri , Prattana Deeprasertkul , Jirawan Kamma

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian

Spatio-temporal forecasting of future values of spatially correlated time series is important across many cyber-physical systems (CPS). Recent studies offer evidence that the use of graph neural networks to capture latent correlations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Minbo Ma , Jilin Hu , Christian S. Jensen , Fei Teng , Peng Han , Zhiqiang Xu , Tianrui Li

Modern IoT deployments for environmental sensing produce high volume spatiotemporal data to support downstream tasks such as forecasting, typically powered by machine learning models. While existing filtering and strategic deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ragini Gupta , Naman Raina , Bo Chen , Li Chen , Claudiu Danilov , Josh Eckhardt , Keyshla Bernard , Klara Nahrstedt

Accurate air quality prediction is becoming increasingly important in the environmental field. To address issues such as low prediction accuracy and slow real-time updates in existing models, which lead to lagging prediction results, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Dan Wang , Feng Jiang , Zhanquan Wang

Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu