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We propose a general framework to design posterior sampling methods for model-based RL. We show that the proposed algorithms can be analyzed by reducing regret to Hellinger distance in conditional probability estimation. We further show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Alekh Agarwal , Tong Zhang

The problem of efficiently generating random samples from high-dimensional and non-log-concave posterior measures arising from nonlinear regression problems is considered. Extending investigations from arXiv:2009.05298, local and global…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Jan Bohr , Richard Nickl

Bayesian inference remains one of the most important tool-kits for any scientist, but increasingly expensive likelihood functions are required for ever-more complex experiments, raising the cost of generating a Monte Carlo sample of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Jesús Torrado , Nils Schöneberg , Jonas El Gammal

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

This paper presents a new accelerated proximal Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology to perform Bayesian inference in imaging inverse problems with an underlying convex geometry. The proposed strategy takes the form of a stochastic relaxed…

For the task of sampling from a density $\pi \propto \exp(-V)$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, where $V$ is possibly non-convex but $L$-gradient Lipschitz, we prove that averaged Langevin Monte Carlo outputs a sample with $\varepsilon$-relative Fisher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Sinho Chewi , Murat A. Erdogdu , Adil Salim , Matthew Zhang

This paper considers properties of an optimization based sampler for targeting the posterior distribution when the likelihood is intractable and auxiliary statistics are used to summarize information in the data. Our reverse sampler…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-02 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

It is well-known that the posterior density of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian likelihood is also Gaussian, hence completely described by its covariance and expectation. Sampling from a Gaussian posterior may be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

Score-based generative modeling (SGM) is a highly successful approach for learning a probability distribution from data and generating further samples. We prove the first polynomial convergence guarantees for the core mechanic behind SGM:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Holden Lee , Jianfeng Lu , Yixin Tan

We study two log-concave sampling problems: constrained sampling and composite sampling. First, we consider sampling from a target distribution with density proportional to $\exp(-f(x))$ supported on a convex set $K \subset \mathbb{R}^d$,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Thanh Dang , Jiaming Liang

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have recently shown successful results for conditional sampling of generative diffusion models. In this paper we propose a new diffusion posterior SMC sampler achieving improved statistical efficiencies,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-25 Zheng Zhao

In the field of inverse estimation for systems modeled by partial differential equations (PDEs), challenges arise when estimating high- (or even infinite-) dimensional parameters. Typically, the ill-posed nature of such problems…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Yankun Hong , Harshit Bansal , Karen Veroy

Posterior sampling with the spike-and-slab prior [MB88], a popular multimodal distribution used to model uncertainty in variable selection, is considered the theoretical gold standard method for Bayesian sparse linear regression [CPS09,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Syamantak Kumar , Purnamrita Sarkar , Kevin Tian , Yusong Zhu

Existing score-based methods for inverse problems often resort to approximate minimization of the KL divergence between the inversion distribution and the Bayesian posterior. Such an approximation leads to severe mode collapse and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Weimin Bai , Yuxuan Gu , Yifei Wang , Weijian Luo , He Sun

Completely random measures provide a principled approach to creating flexible unsupervised models, where the number of latent features is infinite and the number of features that influence the data grows with the size of the data set. Due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Peiyuan Zhu , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

Diffusion models have excellent capacity to model complex distributions of natural data, which has made them a popular and effective choice for posterior sampling in imaging inverse problems. Existing methods can incorporate any measurement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Benjamin A. Burns , Sara Fridovich-Keil

A key limitation of sampling algorithms for approximate inference is that it is difficult to quantify their approximation error. Widely used sampling schemes, such as sequential importance sampling with resampling and Metropolis-Hastings,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Sampling from various kinds of distributions is an issue of paramount importance in statistics since it is often the key ingredient for constructing estimators, test procedures or confidence intervals. In many situations, the exact sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Avetik Karagulyan

We study the efficiency of Thompson sampling for contextual bandits. Existing Thompson sampling-based algorithms need to construct a Laplace approximation (i.e., a Gaussian distribution) of the posterior distribution, which is inefficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Pan Xu , Hongkai Zheng , Eric Mazumdar , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Anima Anandkumar

Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston