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We present a data-driven approach for forecasting global weather using graph neural networks. The system learns to step forward the current 3D atmospheric state by six hours, and multiple steps are chained together to produce skillful…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 Ryan Keisler

Accurately predicting the wind power output of a wind farm across various time scales utilizing Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) is a critical issue in wind power trading and utilization. The WPF problem remains unresolved due to numerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Hongjin Song , Qianrun Chen , Tianqi Jiang , Yongfeng Li , Xusheng Li , Wenjun Xi , Songtao Huang

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most predominant interannual variability in the tropics, significantly impacting global weather and climate. In this paper, a framework of low-order conceptual models for the ENSO is…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-09 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Well-trained deep neural networks (DNNs) treat all test samples equally during prediction. Adaptive DNN inference with early exiting leverages the observation that some test examples can be easier to predict than others. This paper presents…

We introduce Effective Field Neural Networks (EFNNs), a new architecture based on continued functions -- mathematical tools used in renormalization to handle divergent perturbative series. Our key insight is that neural networks can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-19 Xi Liu , Yujun Zhao , Chun Yu Wan , Yang Zhang , Junwei Liu

A novel general neural network (GNN) is proposed for two-class data mining in this study. In a GNN, each attribute in the dataset is treated as a node, with each pair of nodes being connected by an arc. The reliability is of each arc, which…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Wei-Chang Yeh

Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting. Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exerts global climate and societal impacts, but real-time prediction with lead times beyond one year remains challenging. Dynamical models suffer from large biases and uncertainties, while deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-28 Rixu Hao , Yuxin Zhao , Shaoqing Zhang , Guihua Wang , Xiong Deng

We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. The core assumption behind these models is that there is a latent graph between the time series (nodes) that…

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano

Presently with technology node scaling, an accurate prediction model at early design stages can significantly reduce the design cycle. Especially during logic synthesis, predicting cell congestion due to improper logic combination can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Amur Ghose , Vincent Zhang , Yingxue Zhang , Dong Li , Wulong Liu , Mark Coates

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

The need to detect bias in machine learning (ML) models has led to the development of multiple bias detection methods, yet utilizing them is challenging since each method: i) explores a different ethical aspect of bias, which may result in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Amit Giloni , Edita Grolman , Tanja Hagemann , Ronald Fromm , Sebastian Fischer , Yuval Elovici , Asaf Shabtai

Ensemble learning is a technique where multiple component learners are combined through a protocol. We propose an Ensemble Neural Network (ENN) that uses the combined latent-feature space of multiple neural network classifiers to improve…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-05-06 Jack Y. Araz , Michael Spannowsky

Echo State Network (ESN) presents a distinguished kind of recurrent neural networks. It is built upon a sparse, random and large hidden infrastructure called reservoir. ESNs have succeeded in dealing with several non-linear problems such as…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Naima Chouikhi , Boudour Ammar , Adel M. Alimi

Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques have gained significant attention as reduced order models (ROMs) to computationally expensive structural analysis methods, such as finite element analysis (FEA). Graph neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Yuecheng Cai , Jasmin Jelovica

Precise crop yield prediction is essential for improving agricultural practices and ensuring crop resilience in varying climates. Integrating weather data across the growing season, especially for different crop varieties, is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Zahra Khalilzadeh , Motahareh Kashanian , Saeed Khaki , Lizhi Wang

This paper investigates deep learning enabled beamforming design for ultra-dense wireless networks by integrating prior knowledge and graph neural network (GNN), named model-based GNN. A energy efficiency (EE) maximization problem is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-04 Rongsheng Zhang , Yang Lu , Wei Chen , Bo Ai , Zhiguo Ding

This work introduces the Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF), a versatile and model-agnostic approach for generating prediction intervals with any ML model. SEMF extends the Expectation-Maximization algorithm, traditionally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ilia Azizi , Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin