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The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

Containment of epidemic outbreaks entails great societal and economic costs. Cost-effective containment strategies rely on efficiently identifying infected individuals, making the best possible use of the available testing resources.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Laura Natali , Saga Helgadottir , Onofrio M. Marago , Giovanni Volpe

Due to the increasing volume, volatility, and diversity of data in virtually all areas of our lives, the ability to detect duplicates in potentially linked data sources is more important than ever before. However, while research is already…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Fabian Panse , Wolfram Wingerath , Benjamin Wollmer

Census and Household Travel Survey datasets are regularly collected from households and individuals and provide information on their daily travel behavior with demographic and economic characteristics. These datasets have important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Eren Arkangil , Mehmet Yildirimoglu , Jiwon Kim , Carlo Prato

Deep learning approaches are increasingly used to tackle forecasting tasks involving datasets with multiple univariate time series. A key factor in the successful application of these methods is a large enough training sample size, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Moisés Santos , Luis Roque , Yassine Baghoussi , Carlos Soares

Machine learning (ML) holds great promise for clinical applications but is often hindered by limited access to high-quality data due to privacy concerns, high costs, and long timelines associated with clinical trials. While large language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Zerui Xu , Fang Wu , Yingzhou Lu , Yuanyuan Zhang , Yue Zhao

The use of synthetic data is recognized as a crucial step in the development of neural network-based Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems. While the methods for generating synthetic data for AI applications in other domains have a role in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Gary An , Chase Cockrell

Generating synthetic datasets that accurately reflect real-world observational data is critical for evaluating causal estimators, but it remains a challenging task. Existing generative methods offer a solution by producing synthetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Pracheta Amaranath , Vinitra Muralikrishnan , Amit Sharma , David Jensen

Datasets of different characteristics are needed by the research community for experimental purposes. However, real data may be difficult to obtain due to privacy concerns. Moreover, real data may not meet specific characteristics which are…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-11-15 Vanessa Ayala-Rivera , Patrick McDonagh , Thomas Cerqueus , Liam Murphy

Data is the driving force of machine learning, with the amount and quality of training data often being more important for the performance of a system than architecture and training details. But collecting, processing and annotating real…

Infectious disease surveillance is of great importance for the prevention of major outbreaks. Syndromic surveillance aims at developing algorithms which can detect outbreaks as early as possible by monitoring data sources which allow to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

Reconstructing pathogen dynamics from genetic data as they become available during an outbreak or epidemic represents an important statistical scenario in which observations arrive sequentially in time and one is interested in performing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-04 Mandev S. Gill , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard , Andrew Rambaut , Guy Baele

As an emergent infectious disease outbreak unfolds, public health response is reliant on information on key epidemiological quantities, such as transmission potential and serial interval. Increasingly, transmission models fit to incidence…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-29 Aaron A. King , Matthieu Domenech de Cellès , Felicia M. G. Magpantay , Pejman Rohani

Bayesian inference methods are useful in infectious diseases modeling due to their capability to propagate uncertainty, manage sparse data, incorporate latent structures, and address high-dimensional parameter spaces. However, parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Xiahui Li , Fergus Chadwick , Ben Swallow

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) models of epidemics, with possibly time-varying rates, on a class of networks that are locally tree-like, which includes sparse…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Juniper Cocomello , Kavita Ramanan

In this project, identifiability, observability and uncertainty properties of the deterministic and Chain Binomial stochastic SIR, SEIR and SEIAR epidemiological models are studied. Techniques for modeling overdispersion are investigated…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-29 Jonas Hjulstad

Predictions and generations from large language models are increasingly being explored as an aid in limited data regimes, such as in computational social science and human subjects research. While prior technical work has mainly explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Yewon Byun , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary C. Lipton , Rachel Leah Childers , Bryan Wilder

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for public health response, resource allocation, and outbreak intervention, but remains difficult with sparse, noisy, and highly non-stationary data. Because epidemics unfold across interacting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ruiqi Lyu , Alistair Turcan , Bryan Wilder

Stochastic epidemic models provide an interpretable probabilistic description of the spread of a disease through a population. Yet, fitting these models to partially observed data is a notoriously difficult task due to intractability of the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-21 Raphael Morsomme , Jason Xu

We consider the problem of synthetically generating data that can closely resemble human decisions made in the context of an interactive human-AI system like a computer game. We propose a novel algorithm that can generate synthetic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Bryan Brandt , Prithviraj Dasgupta