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Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

This contribution proposes a recursive set-membership method for the ellipsoidal state characterization for discrete-time linear time-varying models with additive unknown disturbances vectors, bounded by possibly degenerate zonotopes and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-15 Yasmina Becis-Aubry

This work studies networked agents cooperating to track a dynamical state of nature under partial information. The proposed algorithm is a distributed Bayesian filtering algorithm for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs). It can be used…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

We study a model of the motion by mean curvature of an (1+1) dimensional interface in a 2D Brownian velocity field. For the well-posedness of the model we prove existence and uniqueness for certain degenerate nonlinear stochastic evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-11 A. Es-Sarhir , M. -K. von Renesse

We introduce a parameter estimation method that utilizes microscopic data, specifically averages and correlations of selected microscopic observables, to determine the parameters of a stochastic differential equation governing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Carlos Monago , J. A. de la Torre , Pep Español

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

It is shown that in systems with time-dependent and/or spatially nonuniform temperature $T(t,x)$, (i) most of the transport processes is weakly non-ergodic, and (ii) the diffusion (Brownian motion, BM) is anomalous. A few examples of simple…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-06-21 Andrzej Fuliński

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the joint reconstruction and prediction of discrete time stochastic dynamical systems, based on $m$-multiple time-series data, perturbed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Christos Merkatas

This work considers a type of slow-fast system, where the slow component is driven by fractional Brownian motion with H > 1/2 and the fast component is a Markovian stationary process. Our solution mapping is defined based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu

We study the extremal properties of a stochastic process $x_t$ defined by a Langevin equation $\dot{x}_t=\sqrt{2 D_0 V(B_t)}\,\xi_t$, where $\xi_t$ is a Gaussian white noise with zero mean, $D_0$ is a constant scale factor, and $V(B_t)$ is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-14 D. S. Grebenkov , V. Sposini , R. Metzler , G. Oshanin , F. Seno

We study single-variable approaches for describing stochastic dynamics with small inertia. The basic models we deal with describe passive Brownian particles and phase elements (phase oscillators, rotators, superconducting Josephson…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-23 Denis S. Goldobin , Lyudmila S. Klimenko , Irina V. Tyulkina , Vasily A. Kostin , Lev A. Smirnov

We prove the existence and uniqueness of a strong solution of a stochastic differential equation with normal reflection representing the random motion of finitely many globules. Each globule is a sphere with time-dependent random radius and…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-16 Myriam Fradon

A paradigm for isothermal, mechanical rectification of stochastic fluctuations is introduced in this paper. The central idea is to transform energy injected by random perturbations into rigid-body rotational kinetic energy. The prototype…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-18 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Houman Owhadi

We study the motion of an elastic object driven in a disordered environment in presence of both dissipation and inertia. We consider random forces with the statistics of random walks and reduce the problem to a single degree of freedom. It…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-08-22 Pierre Le Doussal , Aleksandra Petkovic , Kay Jörg Wiese

We consider the stochastic evolution equation $ du=Audt+G(u)d\omega,\quad u(0)=u_0 $ in a separable Hilbert--space $V$. Here $G$ is supposed to be three times Fr\'echet--differentiable and $\omega$ is a trace class fractional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-07 María J. Garrido-Atienza , Björn Schmalfuss , Kening Lu

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

Lyapunov exponents of dynamical systems are defined from the rates of divergence of nearby trajectories. For stochastic systems, one typically assumes that these trajectories are generated under the "same noise realization". The purpose of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Tanguy Laffargue , Julien Tailleur , Frédéric van Wijland

Stochastic models of varying complexity have been proposed to describe the dispersion of particles in turbulent flows, from simple Brownian motion to complex temporally and spatially correlated models. A method is needed to compare…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-07-13 Martin T. Brolly , James R. Maddison , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Jacques Vanneste