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Related papers: The Maki-Thompson model with random awareness

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We propose a mathematical model to measure how multiple repetitions may influence in the ultimate proportion of the population never hearing a rumor during a given outbreak. The model is a multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chain that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Alejandra Rada , Cristian F. Coletti , Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

We consider the Maki-Thompson model for the stochastic propagation of a rumour within a population. We extend the original hypothesis of homogenously mixed population by allowing for a small-world network embedding the model. This structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Elena Agliari , Angelica Pachon , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Flavia Tavani

We investigate rumor spreading in a generalized Maki-Thompson model with spontaneous stifling, evolving on quasi-transitive networks. Individuals are either ignorants, spreaders, or stiflers; spreaders stop by contact with other spreaders…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Nancy Lopes Garcia , Denis Araujo Luiz , Daniel Miranda Machado

In this paper we study the Maki-Thompson rumor model on infinite Cayley trees. The basic version of the model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals: ignorants,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

We propose a realistic generalization of the Maki-Thompson rumour model by assuming that each spreader ceases to propagate the rumour right after being involved in a random number of stifling experiences. We consider the process with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Elcio Lebensztayn , Fábio P. Machado , Pablo M. Rodríguez

In this work we propose a new extension for the Maki-Thompson rumor model which incorporates inter-group directed contacts. The model is defined on an homogeneously mixing population where the existence of two differentiated groups of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-04 Carolina Grejo , Pablo M. Rodriguez

Sudbury (1985) showed for the Maki-Thompson model of rumour spreading that the proportion of the population never hearing the rumour converges in probability to a limiting constant (approximately equal to 0.203) as the population size tends…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Yuchen Duan , Ayalvadi Ganesh , University of Bristol

Rumor spreading is a ubiquitous phenomenon in social and technological networks. Traditional models consider that the rumor is propagated by pairwise interactions between spreaders and ignorants. Spreaders can become stiflers only after…

Rumor and information spreading are natural processes that emerge from human-to-human interaction. Mathematically, this was explored in the popular Maki-Thompson model, where a phase transition was thought to be absent. Here, we show that a…

We consider the stochastic model for the propagation of a rumour within a population which was formulated by Maki and Thompson. Sudbury established that, as the population size tends to infinity, the proportion of the population never…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Elcio Lebensztayn

The Maki-Thompson rumor model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals; namely, ignorants, spreaders and stiflers. A spreader tells the rumor to any of its nearest…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

We examine a general stochastic rumor model characterized by specific parameters that govern the interaction rates among individuals. Our model includes the \((\alpha, p)\)-probability variants of the well-known Daley--Kendall and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-11 Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

The final proportion of ignorants in the classical Maki--Thompson rumour model is known to satisfy the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem, and the large deviation principle. In this note, we establish the corresponding moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Shaochen Wang , Guangyu Yang

Spreading processes are ubiquitous in natural and artificial systems. They can be studied via a plethora of models, depending on the specific details of the phenomena under study. Disease contagion and rumor spreading are among the most…

In this paper we propose a deterministic mathematical model that attempts to explain the propagation of a rumor using SIRS type epidemiological models with temporary immunity and nonlinear incidence rate. In particular, we speculate about…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 René Escalante , Marco Odehnal

One of the major issues in the theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to…

We study a general stochastic rumour model in which an ignorant individual has a certain probability of becoming a stifler immediately upon hearing the rumour. We refer to this special kind of stifler as an uninterested individual. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Elcio Lebensztayn , Fábio P. Machado , Pablo M. Rodríguez

We study four discrete time stochastic systems on $\bbN$ modeling processes of rumour spreading. The involved individuals can either have an active or a passive role, speaking up or asking for the rumour. The appetite in spreading or…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Fabio P. Machado , Mauricio Zuluaga

We analyze a model designed to describe the spread and accumulation of opinions in a population. Inspired by the social contagion paradigm, our model is built on the classical SIR model of Kermack and McKendrick and consists in a system of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Romain Ducasse , Samuel Tréton

We study the dynamics of an epidemic-like model for the spread of a rumor on a small-world network. It has been shown that this model exhibits a transition between regimes of localization and propagation at a finite value of the network…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Damian H. Zanette
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