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Several emerging post-Bayesian methods target a probability distribution for which an entropy-regularised variational objective is minimised. This increased flexibility introduces a computational challenge, as one loses access to an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-17 Clémentine Chazal , Heishiro Kanagawa , Zheyang Shen , Anna Korba , Chris. J. Oates

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

Accurate and uncertainty-aware degradation estimation is essential for predictive maintenance in safety-critical systems like rotating machinery with rolling-element bearings. Many existing uncertainty methods lack confidence calibration,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Waleed Razzaq , Yun-Bo Zhao

The number of observed gravitational wave (GW) events is growing fast thanks to rapidly improving detector sensitivities. GWs from compact binary coalescences like Black Holes or Neutron Stars behave like standard sirens and can be used as…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-17 Giona Sala , Alessandro Cuoco , Julien Lesgourgues , Kostantinos-Rafail Revis , Lorenzo Valbusa Dall'Armi , Santiago Casas

There have been thousands of cosmological models for our early universe proposed in the literature, and many of them claimed to be able to give rise to scale-invariant power spectrum as was favored by the observational data. It is thus…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-15 Jiaming Shi , Zheng Fang , Taotao Qiu

We study the detectability of postmerger QCD phase transitions in neutron star binaries with next-generation gravitational-wave detectors Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope. We perform numerical relativity simulations of neutron star…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-13 Aviral Prakash , Ish Gupta , Matteo Breschi , Rahul Kashyap , David Radice , Sebastiano Bernuzzi , Domenico Logoteta , B. S. Sathyaprakash

Accurate channel estimation with low pilot overhead and computational complexity is key to efficiently utilizing multi-antenna wireless systems. Motivated by the evolution from purely statistical descriptions toward physics- and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-22 Syed Luqman Shah , Nurul Huda Mahmood , Italo Atzeni

The Hubble constant, $H_0$, tension is the tension among the local probes, Supernovae Ia, and the Cosmic Microwave Background Radiation. It has been almost a decade, and this tension still puzzles the community. Here, we add intermediate…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-07-18 Shahnawaz A. Adil , Maria G. Dainotti , Anjan A. Sen

We compare two different probes of the expansion history of the universe, namely, luminosity distances from type Ia supernovae and angular diameter distances from galaxy clusters, using the Bayesian interpretation of Crossing statistic [1,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-21 Arman Shafieloo , Subhabrata Majumdar , Varun Sahni , Alexei A. Starobinsky

Recent cosmological observations, including the latest Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) data releases DR1 and DR2, have renewed interest in the possibility that dark energy may exhibit dynamical behavior rather than being a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Redouane El Ouardi , Amine Bouali , Ahmed Errahmani , Ryan E. Keeley , Arman Shafieloo , Taoufik Ouali

Kernels representing limiting cases of neural network architectures have recently gained popularity. However, the application and performance of these new kernels compared to existing options, such as the Matern kernel, is not well studied.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest , Imene R. Goumiri , Michael D. Schneider

We present a Gaussian regression method for time series with missing data and stationary residuals of unknown power spectral density (PSD). The missing data are efficiently estimated by their conditional expectation as in universal Kriging,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-08-31 Quentin Baghi , Gilles Métris , Joël Bergé , Bruno Christophe , Pierre Touboul , Manuel Rodrigues

The north-south (NS) anisotropy of galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) is dominated by a diamagnetic drift flow of GCRs in the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF), allowing us to derive key parameters of cosmic-ray propagation, such as the density…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-17 M. Kozai , Y. Hayashi , K. Fujii , K. Munakata , C. Kato , N. Miyashita , A. Kadokura , R. Kataoka , S. Miyake , M. L. Duldig , J. E. Humble , K. Iwai

A validation of the cosmic distance duality (CDD) relation, eta(z)=(1+z)^2 d_A(z)/d_L(z)=1, coupling the luminosity (d_L) and angular-diameter (d_A) distances, is crucial because its violation would require exotic new physics. We present a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-19 Cheng-Zong Ruan , Fulvio Melia , Tong-Jie Zhang

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is an important type of supervised machine learning model with inherent uncertainty measure in its predictions. We propose a new framework, nuGPR, to address the well-known challenge of high computation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Ziqi Zhao , Vivek Sarin

Validating the accelerating expansion of the universe is an important issue for understanding the evolution of the universe. By constraining the cosmic acceleration parameter $X_H$, we can discriminate between the $\Lambda \mathrm{CDM}$…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-12-14 Meng-Fei Sun , Jin Li , Shuo Cao , Xiaolin Liu

We perform a model-independent reconstruction of the cosmic distances using the Multi-Task Gaussian Process (MTGP) framework as well as knot-based spline techniques with DESI-DR2 BAO and DES-SN5YR datasets. We calibrate the comoving sound…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-02 Purba Mukherjee , Anjan A Sen

This work presents a novel method for extracting potential barrier distributions from experimental fusion cross sections. We utilize a simple Gaussian process regression (GPR) framework to model the observed cross sections as a function of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-06-10 Kyle Godbey

Although the spatial curvature has been measured with very high precision, it still suffers from the well known cosmic curvature tension. In this paper, we propose an improved method to determine the cosmic curvature, by using the simulated…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-03 Yuan He , Yu Pan , Dongping Shi , Jin Li , Shuo Cao , Wei Cheng

Solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) using kernel methods offers a compelling alternative to traditional numerical solvers. However, the performance of these methods strongly depends on the choice of kernel. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fatima-Zahrae El-Boukkouri , Josselin Garnier , Olivier Roustant