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Solar flare prediction plays an important role in understanding and forecasting space weather. The main goal of the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), one of the instruments on NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory, is to study the origin…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-08 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang , Yang Nie , Chang Liu , Haimin Wang

Clouds play a critical role in the Earth's energy budget and their potential changes are one of the largest uncertainties in future climate projections. However, the use of satellite observations to understand cloud feedbacks in a warming…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-22 Takuya Kurihana , James Franke , Ian Foster , Ziwei Wang , Elisabeth Moyer

We propose a forecasting approach for solar flares based on data from Solar Cycle 24, taken by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) mission. In particular, we use the Space-weather HMI…

In this contribution, we present the most recent progresses we obtained in the context of a long-term program we undertook since a few years towards the implementation of operational forecast systems (a) on top-class ground-based telescopes…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-17 E. Masciadri , Alessio Turchi , G. Martelloni

The feature based spatial verification method SAL is applied to cloud data, i.e. two-dimensional spatial fields of total cloud cover and spectral radiance. Model output is obtained from the COSMO-DE forward operator SynSat and compared to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-08 Michael Weniger , Petra Friederichs

The intensity and energy spectrum of galactic cosmic rays in the heliosphere are significantly influenced by the 11-year solar cycle, a phenomenon known as solar modulation. Understanding this effect and its underlying physical mechanisms…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-26 David Pelosi , Fernando Barão , Bruna Bertucci , Francesco Faldi , Emanuele Fiandrini , Alejandro Reina Conde , Miguel Orcinha , Nicola Tomassetti

Data assimilation (DA) is a fundamental component of modern weather prediction, yet it remains a major computational bottleneck in machine learning (ML)-based forecasting pipelines due to reliance on traditional variational methods. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Ran Cheng , Lailai Zhu

This paper addresses the fundamental science question: "How does solar wind energy flow through the Earth's magnetosphere, how is it converted and distributed?". We need to understand how the Sun creates the heliosphere, and how the planets…

Space weather at Earth, driven by the solar activity, poses growing risks to satellites around our planet as well as to critical ground-based technological infrastructure. Major space weather contributors are the solar wind and coronal mass…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Daniela Martin , Jinsu Hong , Connor O'Brien , Valmir P Moraes Filho , Jasmine R. Kobayashi , Evangelia Samara , Joseph Gallego

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) relies heavily on seawater desalination to meet over 90% of its drinking water needs. Desalination processes are highly energy intensive and account for approximately 15% of the UAE's electricity consumption,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Obumneme Nwafor , Chioma Nwafor , Amro Zakaria , Nkechi Nwankwo

Solar flares, especially the M- and X-class flares, are often associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs). They are the most important sources of space weather effects, that can severely impact the near-Earth environment. Thus it is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-02 Hewei Zhang , Qin Li , Yanxing Yang , Ju Jing , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Zuofeng Shang

Solar eruptions are the leading driver of space weather, and it is vital for space weather forecast to understand in what conditions the solar eruptions can be produced and how they are initiated. The rotation of sunspots around their…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-15 Chaowei Jiang , Xueshang Feng , Xinkai Bian , Peng Zou , Aiying Duan , Xiaoli Yan , Qiang Hu , Wen He , Xinyi Wang , Pingbing Zuo , Yi Wang

AI-FLARES (Artificial Intelligence for the Analysis of Solar Flares Data) is a research project funded by the Agenzia Spaziale Italiana and by the Istituto Nazionale di Astrofisica within the framework of the ``Attivit\`a di Studio per la…

Solar flares are the most explosive phenomena in the solar system and the main trigger of the events' chain that starts from Coronal Mass Ejections and leads to geomagnetic storms with possible impacts on the infrastructures at Earth.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-03 Chiara Curletto , Paolo Massa , Valeria Tagliafico , Cristina Campi , Federico Benvenuto , Michele Piana , Andrea Tacchino

Efficient prediction of solar flares relies on parameters that quantify the eruptive capability of solar active regions. Several such quantitative predictors have been proposed in the literature, inferred mostly from photospheric…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 Ioannis Kontogiannis , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Sung-Hong Park , Jordan A Guerra

Urgent applications like wildfire management and renewable energy generation require precise, localized weather forecasts near the Earth's surface. However, forecasts produced by machine learning models or numerical weather prediction…

The global rotational profile of the solar atmosphere and its variation at different layers, although crucial for a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of the solar magnetic field, has been a subject to contradictory results…

The coming years will see routine use of solar data of unprecedented spatial and spectral resolution, time cadence, and completeness in the wavelength domain. To capitalize on the soon to be available radio facilities such as the expanded…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Gregory D. Fleishman , Gelu M. Nita , Dale E. Gary

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere