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We develop a statistical toolbox for a quantitative model evaluation of stochastic reaction-diffusion systems modeling space-time evolution of biophysical quantities on the intracellular level. Starting from space-time data $X_N(t,x)$, as,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-14 Gregor Pasemann , Carsten Beta , Wilhelm Stannat

Turbulence governs the transport of momentum, energy, and scalars in many geophysical and engineering flows. In large-eddy simulations (LES), parameterizing subgrid-scale (SGS) stresses remains a central challenge, as unresolved physical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-02 Yu Cheng , Tianle Liu

To model subsurface flow in uncertain heterogeneous\ fractured media an elliptic equation with a discontinuous stochastic diffusion coefficient - also called random field - may be used. In case of a one-dimensional parameter space, L\'evy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Andrea Barth , Robin Merkle

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

In this work, we propose an approach to generalize denoising diffusion probabilistic models for stock market predictions and portfolio management. Present works have demonstrated the efficacy of modeling interstock relations for market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Divyanshu Daiya , Monika Yadav , Harshit Singh Rao

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

Generative diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in producing high-quality images. However, these models typically operate in continuous intensity spaces, diffusing independently across pixels and color channels. As a result,…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Javier E. Santos , Agnese Marcato , Roman Colman , Nicholas Lubbers , Yen Ting Lin

This paper develops a nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating spatial boundaries of treatment effects in settings with geographic spillovers. While atmospheric dispersion theory predicts exponential decay of pollution under…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

Diffusion models (DMs) represent state-of-the-art generative models for continuous inputs. DMs work by constructing a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) in the input space (ie, position space), and using a neural network to reverse it.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Tianrong Chen , Jiatao Gu , Laurent Dinh , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Joshua Susskind , Shuangfei Zhai

A free boundary diffusive logistic model finds application in many different fields from biological invasion to wildfire propagation. However, many of these processes show a random nature and contain uncertainties in the parameters. In this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 M. -C. Casabán , R. Company , V. N. Egorova , L. Jódar

We develop a novel approach towards causal inference. Rather than structural equations over a causal graph, we learn stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose stationary densities model a system's behavior under interventions. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Lars Lorch , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf

Diffusion models have gained attention for their ability to represent complex distributions and incorporate uncertainty, making them ideal for robust predictions in the presence of noisy or incomplete data. In this study, we develop and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Yilin Zhuang , Sibo Cheng , Karthik Duraisamy

Applying pre-trained generative denoising diffusion models (DDMs) for downstream tasks such as image semantic editing usually requires either fine-tuning DDMs or learning auxiliary editing networks in the existing literature. In this work,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Ye Zhu , Yu Wu , Zhiwei Deng , Olga Russakovsky , Yan Yan

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) have achieved impressive performance on various image generation tasks, including image super-resolution. By learning to reverse the process of gradually diffusing the data distribution into…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Kai Zhao , Alex Ling Yu Hung , Kaifeng Pang , Haoxin Zheng , Kyunghyun Sung

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model to simultaneously estimate mean based changepoints in spatially correlated functional time series. Unlike previous methods that assume a shared changepoint at all spatial locations or ignore spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Mengchen Wang , Trevor Harris , Bo Li

Diffusion models have risen to prominence in time series forecasting, showcasing their robust capability to model complex data distributions. However, their effectiveness in deterministic predictions is often constrained by instability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Hao Yang , Zhanbo Feng , Feng Zhou , Robert C Qiu , Zenan Ling

In this paper, we develop and analyze a stochastic algorithm for solving space-time fractional diffusion models, which are widely used to describe anomalous diffusion dynamics. These models pose substantial numerical challenges due to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Tengteng Cui , Chengtao Sheng , Bihao Su , Zhi Zhou

Probabilistic forecasting is crucial for real-world spatiotemporal systems, such as climate, energy, and urban environments, where quantifying uncertainty is essential for informed, risk-aware decision-making. While diffusion models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Yudi Zhang , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Benjamin M. Kent , Catherine E. Powell , David J. Silvester , Małgorzata J. Zimoń