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This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

We give concentration inequalities in Wasserstein distance for the empirical measure of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with values in a Polish space E. These inequalities involve the covering…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Jérôme Dedecker , Aurélie Fischer , Bertrand Michel

There has been significant progress in Bayesian inference based on sparsity-inducing (e.g., spike-and-slab and horseshoe-type) priors for high-dimensional regression models. The resulting posteriors, however, in general do not possess…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-11 Qihui Chen , Zheng Fang , Ruixuan Liu

Approximating integrals is a fundamental task in probability theory and statistical inference, and their applied fields of signal processing, and Bayesian learning, as soon as expectations over probability distributions must be computed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solal Martin , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

We obtain bounds to quantify the distributional approximation in the delta method for vector statistics (the sample mean of $n$ independent random vectors) for normal and non-normal limits, measured using smooth test functions. For normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Robert E. Gaunt , Heather Sutcliffe

Gaussian distributions are widely used in Bayesian variational inference to approximate intractable posterior densities, but the ability to accommodate skewness can improve approximation accuracy significantly, when data or prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Linda S. L. Tan , Aoxiang Chen

We establish a Bernstein-type inequality for a class of stochastic processes that include the classical geometrically $\phi$-mixing processes, Rio's generalization of these processes, as well as many time-discrete dynamical systems. Modulo…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 H. Hang , I. Steinwart

We consider generalized Bayesian inference on stochastic processes and dynamical systems with potentially long-range dependency. Given a sequence of observations, a class of parametrized model processes with a prior distribution, and a loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Langxuan Su , Sayan Mukherjee

We derive the criterion for the Bose-Einstein condensation (BEC) of a Gaussian field $\phi$ (real or complex) in the thermodynamic limit. The field is characterized by its covariance function and the control parameter is the intensity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 Philippe Mounaix , Satya N. Majumdar , Abhimanyu Banerjee

For functions of independent random variables, various upper and lower variance bounds are revisited in diverse settings. These are then specialized to the Bernoulli, Gaussian, infinitely divisible cases and to Banach space valued random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Clément Deslandes , Christian Houdré

We prove concentration bounds for random Euclidean combinatorial optimization problems with $p$--costs. For bipartite matching and for the (mono- and bi-partite) traveling salesperson problem in dimension $d\ge 3$, we obtain concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Matteo D'Achille , Francesco Mattesini , Dario Trevisan

In an indirect Gaussian sequence space model lower and upper bounds are derived for the concentration rate of the posterior distribution of the parameter of interest shrinking to the parameter value $\theta^\circ$ that generates the data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Jan Johannes , Anna Simoni , Rudolf Schenk

In this paper, we study a consensus-based optimization method for nonconvex bi-level optimization, where the objective is to minimize an upper-level function over the set of global minimizers of a lower-level problem. The proposed approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Yutong Chao , Xudong Sun , Konstantin Riedl , Majid Khadiv , Jalal Etesami

Modern construction of uniform confidence bands for nonparametric densities (and other functions) often relies on the classical Smirnov-Bickel-Rosenblatt (SBR) condition; see, for example, Gin\'{e} and Nickl [Probab. Theory Related Fields…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

We study the multivariate deconvolution problem of recovering the distribution of a signal from independent and identically distributed observations additively contaminated with random errors (noise) from a known distribution. For errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors. Using the nascent theory of non-linear large deviations (Chatterjee and Dembo,2016), we derive sufficient conditions for the leading-order correctness of the naive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Sumit Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

Aggregated predictors are obtained by making a set of basic predictors vote according to some weights, that is, to some probability distribution. Randomized predictors are obtained by sampling in a set of basic predictors, according to some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Pierre Alquier

The ability of overparameterized deep networks to generalize well has been linked to the fact that stochastic gradient descent (SGD) finds solutions that lie in flat, wide minima in the training loss -- minima where the output of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Vaishnavh Nagarajan , J. Zico Kolter

In this paper we obtain non-uniform Berry-Esseen bounds for normal approximations by the Malliavin-Stein method. The techniques rely on a detailed analysis of the solutions of Stein's equations and will be applied to functionals of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Marius Butzek , Peter Eichelsbacher

During the past decade, shrinkage priors have received much attention in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional data. This paper establishes the posterior consistency for high-dimensional linear regression with a class of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Qifan Song , Faming Liang
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