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Over the past few decades, the hydrology community has witnessed notable advancements in streamflow prediction, particularly with the introduction of cutting-edge machine-learning algorithms. Recurrent neural networks, especially Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Sinan Rasiya Koya , Tirthankar Roy

Flow matching (FM) learns vector fields by regressing stochastic velocity targets along intermediate distributions $p_t$. We identify a geometric optimization bottleneck in this regression problem: when the covariance $\Sigma_t$ of $p_t$ is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Shadab Ahamed , Eshed Gal , Md Shahriar Rahim Siddiqui , Simon Ghyselincks , Moshe Eliasof , Eldad Haber

Finite-State Machines (FSMs) are critical for modeling the operational logic of network protocols, enabling verification, analysis, and vulnerability discovery. However, existing FSM extraction techniques face limitations such as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Fares Wael , Youssef Maklad , Ali Hamdi , Wael Elsersy

The recent boom of large pre-trained models witnesses remarkable success in developing foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting. Despite impressive performance across diverse downstream forecasting tasks, existing time series FMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Hui He , Kun Yi , Yuanchi Ma , Qi Zhang , Zhendong Niu , Guansong Pang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated increasing capabilities due to their extensive pretraining on large volumes of diverse time series data. Consequently, the quality of time series data is crucial to TSFM performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Shunyu Wu , Tianyue Li , Yixuan Leng , Jingyi Suo , Jian Lou , Dan Li , See-Kiong Ng

Generative models have excelled in audio tasks using approaches such as language models, diffusion, and flow matching. However, existing generative approaches for speech enhancement (SE) face notable challenges: language model-based methods…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-28 Ziqian Wang , Zikai Liu , Xinfa Zhu , Yike Zhu , Mingshuai Liu , Jun Chen , Longshuai Xiao , Chao Weng , Lei Xie

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently gained significant attention due to their strong zero-shot capabilities and widespread real-world applications. Such models typically require a computationally costly pre-training on…

Decision-making in building energy systems critically depends on the predictive accuracy of relevant time-series models. In scenarios lacking extensive data from a target building, foundation models (FMs) represent a promising technology…

Flow Matching (FM) is a simulation-free method for learning a continuous and invertible flow to interpolate between two distributions, and in particular to generate data from noise. Inspired by the variational nature of the diffusion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-14 Chen Xu , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

We investigate the effectiveness of time series foundation models (TSFMs) for crowd flow prediction, focusing on Moirai and TimesFM. Evaluated on three real-world mobility datasets-Bike NYC, Taxi Beijing, and Spanish national OD flows-these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Massimiliano Luca , Ciro Beneduce , Bruno Lepri

Deep learning has achieved strong performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF). However, we identify a critical representation paradox, termed Latent Chaos: models with accurate predictions often learn latent representations that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Jie Yang , Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Kexin Zhang , Kaize Ding , Philip S. Yu

In this paper we introduce a Non-Stationary Fuzzy Time Series (NSFTS) method with time varying parameters adapted from the distribution of the data. In this approach, we employ Non-Stationary Fuzzy Sets, in which perturbation functions are…

Diffusion-based models have significant achievements in time series generation but suffer from inefficient computation: solving high-dimensional ODEs/SDEs via iterative numerical solvers demands hundreds to thousands of drift function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yang Hu , Xiao Wang , Zezhen Ding , Lirong Wu , Huatian Zhang , Stan Z. Li , Sheng Wang , Jiheng Zhang , Ziyun Li , Tianlong Chen

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at numerical forecasting but operate as black boxes lacking qualitative reasoning. Conversely, applying LLMs directly to temporal data introduces a modality gap: text tokenizers fragment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Md Atik Ahamed , Mihir Parmar , Palash Goyal , Chun-Liang Li , Qiang Cheng , Tomas Pfister , Jinsung Yoon

Generative models based on dynamical equations such as flows and diffusions offer exceptional sample quality, but require computationally expensive numerical integration during inference. The advent of consistency models has enabled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Nicholas M. Boffi , Michael S. Albergo , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

This study investigates zero-shot forecasting capabilities of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) for macroeconomic indicators. We apply TSFMs to forecasting economic indicators under univariate conditions, bypassing the need for train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Jittarin Jetwiriyanon , Teo Susnjak , Surangika Ranathunga

In this work, we introduce FLAME, a family of extremely lightweight and capable Time Series Foundation Models, which support both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting via generative probabilistic modeling, thus ensuring both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xiangfei Qiu , Zhengyu Li , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Advances in time-series forecasting are driving a shift from conventional machine learning models to foundation models (FMs) that are trained with generalized knowledge. However, existing FMs still perform poorly in the energy fields, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Rui Liang , Yang Deng , Donghua Xie , Fang He , Dan Wang

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

Normalizing Flows (NFs) are a class of generative models distinguished by a mathematically invertible architecture, where the forward pass transforms data into a latent space for density estimation, and the reverse pass generates new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Yang Chen , Xiaowei Xu , Shuai Wang , Chenhui Zhu , Ruxue Wen , Xubin Li , Tiezheng Ge , Limin Wang