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This Thesis explores how tools from Statistical Physics and Information Theory can help us describe and understand complex systems. In the first part, we study the interplay between internal interactions, environmental changes, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-01 Giorgio Nicoletti

We build on a previous statistical model for distributed systems and formulate it in a way that the deterministic and stochastic processes within the system are clearly separable. We show how internal fluctuations can be analysed in a…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-22 Iqbal Adjali , José-Luis Fernández-Villacañas , Michael Gell

When designing systems that are complex, dynamic and stochastic in nature, simulation is generally recognised as one of the best design support technologies, and a valuable aid in the strategic and tactical decision making process. A…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-05-30 Peer-Olaf Siebers , Uwe Aickelin

By analogy with the theory of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, we define Backward Stochastic Difference Equations on spaces related to discrete time, finite state processes. This paper considers these processes as constructions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott

Decision-making under uncertainty is central to many safety-critical applications, where decisions must be guided by probabilistic modeling formalisms. This paper introduces a novel approach to policy synthesis in multi-objective interval…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-08 Negar Monir , Sadegh Soudjani

POMDPs are useful models for systems where the true underlying state is not known completely to an outside observer; the outside observer incompletely knows the true state of the system, and observes a noisy version of the true system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Caleb M. Bowyer

Synchronous languages are now a standard industry tool for critical embedded systems. Designers write high-level specifications by composing streams of values using block diagrams. These languages have been extended with Bayesian reasoning…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-09-11 Guillaume Baudart , Louis Mandel , Christine Tasson

Employing model predictive control to systems with unbounded, stochastic disturbances poses the challenge of guaranteeing safety, i.e., repeated feasibility and stability of the closed-loop system. Especially, there are no strict repeated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-11 Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

Although many real-world stochastic planning problems are more naturally formulated by hybrid models with both discrete and continuous variables, current state-of-the-art methods cannot adequately address these problems. We present the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Carlos E. Guestrin , Milos Hauskrecht , Branislav Kveton

The Markov decision process (MDP) formulation used to model many real-world sequential decision making problems does not efficiently capture the setting where the set of available decisions (actions) at each time step is stochastic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Blossom Metevier , Philip S. Thomas

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide an elegant mathematical framework for modeling complex decision and planning problems in stochastic domains in which states of the system are observable only indirectly, via a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 M. Hauskrecht

Markov decision processes (MDPs) provide a fundamental model for sequential decision making under process uncertainty. A classical synthesis task is to compute for a given MDP a winning policy that achieves a desired specification. However,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Roman Andriushchenko , Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges , Filip Macák

Using a novel toy nautical navigation environment, we show that dynamic programming can be used when only incomplete information about a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) is known. By incorporating uncertainty into our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Chris Beeler , Xinkai Li , Colin Bellinger , Mark Crowley , Maia Fraser , Isaac Tamblyn

When reasoning about the strategic capabilities of an agent, it is important to consider the nature of its adversaries. In the particular context of controller synthesis for quantitative specifications, the usual problem is to devise a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Véronique Bruyère , Emmanuel Filiot , Mickael Randour , Jean-François Raskin

Probabilistic programming combines general computer programming, statistical inference, and formal semantics to help systems make decisions when facing uncertainty. Probabilistic programs are ubiquitous, including having a significant…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Kangfeng Ye , Jim Woodcock , Simon Foster

Time-delay systems are an important class of dynamical systems that provide a solid mathematical framework to deal with many application domains of interest. In this paper we focus on nonlinear control systems with unknown and time-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Giordano Pola , Pierdomenico Pepe , Maria Domenica Di Benedetto

Markov decision processes are a ubiquitous formalism for modelling systems with non-deterministic and probabilistic behavior. Verification of these models is subject to the famous state space explosion problem. We alleviate this problem by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Sebastian Junges , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

Many applications -- including power systems, robotics, and economics -- involve a dynamical system interacting with a stochastic and hard-to-model environment. We adopt a reinforcement learning approach to control such systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar , Shaofeng Zou

In this paper, we describe a representation for spatial information, called the stochastic map, and associated procedures for building it, reading information from it, and revising it incrementally as new information is obtained. The map…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Randall Smith , Matthew Self , Peter Cheeseman

We present the principled design of a control pipeline for the synthesis of policies from examples data. The pipeline, based on a discretized design which we term as discrete fully probabilistic design, expounds an algorithm recently…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-14 Enrico Ferrentino , Pasquale Chiacchio , Giovanni Russo