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In order to integrate uncertainty estimates into deep time-series modelling, Kalman Filters (KFs) (Kalman et al., 1960) have been integrated with deep learning models, however, such approaches typically rely on approximate inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Philipp Becker , Harit Pandya , Gregor Gebhardt , Cheng Zhao , James Taylor , Gerhard Neumann

Modern nonlinear control theory seeks to endow systems with properties such as stability and safety, and has been deployed successfully across various domains. Despite this success, model uncertainty remains a significant challenge in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-02 Andrew J. Taylor , Victor D. Dorobantu , Sarah Dean , Benjamin Recht , Yisong Yue , Aaron D. Ames

The Kalman filter (KF) is one of the most widely used tools for data assimilation and sequential estimation. In this work, we show that the state estimates from the KF in a standard linear dynamical system setting are equivalent to those…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Maria Jahja , David C. Farrow , Roni Rosenfeld , Ryan J. Tibshirani

In this work we consider the state estimation problem in nonlinear/non-Gaussian systems. We introduce a framework, called the scaled unscented transform Gaussian sum filter (SUT-GSF), which combines two ideas: the scaled unscented Kalman…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-19 Xiaodong Luo , Irene M. Moroz , Ibrahim Hoteit

Modeling non-stationary processes, where statistical properties vary across the input domain, is a critical challenge in machine learning; yet most scalable methods rely on a simplifying assumption of stationarity. This forces a difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Sawan Kumar , Souvik Chakraborty

The current fuel moisture content (FMC) subsystems in WRF-SFIRE and its workflow system WRFx use a time-lag differential equation model with assimilation of data from FMC sensors on Remote Automated Weather Stations (RAWS) by the extended…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 J. Mandel , J. Hirschi , A. K. Kochanski , A. Farguell , J. Haley , D. V. Mallia , B. Shaddy , A. A. Oberai , K. A. Hilburn

This work proposes a resilient and adaptive state estimation framework for robots operating in perceptually-degraded environments. The approach, called Adaptive Maximum Correntropy Criterion Kalman Filtering (AMCCKF), is inherently robust…

Kalman filters and observers are two main classes of dynamic state estimation (DSE) routines. Power system DSE has been implemented by various Kalman filters, such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF).…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Junjian Qi , Ahmad F. Taha , Jianhui Wang

This paper studies the problem of distributed state estimation (DSE) over sensor networks on matrix Lie groups, which is crucial for applications where system states evolve on Lie groups rather than vector spaces. We propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-27 Zhian Ruan , Yizhi Zhou

With the rapid development of industrial automation and smart manufacturing, the control of flexible structures and underactuated systems has become a critical research focus. Residual vibrations in these systems not only degrade…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-03 Weiyi Yang , Yu Yuan , Mingsheng Shang

This paper presents an innovative Reduced-Order Model (ROM) for merging experimental and simulation data using Data Assimilation (DA) to estimate the "True" state of a fluid dynamics system, leading to more accurate predictions. Our…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Paul Jeanney , Ashton Hetherington , Shady E. Ahmed , David Lanceta , Susana Saiz , José Miguel Perez , Soledad Le Clainche

This paper tackles the intricate task of jointly estimating state and parameters in data assimilation for stochastic dynamical systems that are affected by noise and observed only partially. While the concept of ``optimal filtering'' serves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Zezhong Zhang

The Kalman filter (KF) provides optimal recursive state estimates for linear-Gaussian systems and underpins applications in control, signal processing, and others. However, it is vulnerable to outliers in the measurements and process noise.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-02 Alan Yang , Stephen Boyd

We propose a Neural-Enhanced Distributed Kalman Filter (NDKF) for multi-sensor state estimation in nonlinear systems. Unlike traditional Kalman filters that rely on explicit analytical models and assume centralized fusion, NDKF leverages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Siavash Farzan , Bennett Parisi

Despite great successes, model predictive control (MPC) relies on an accurate dynamical model and requires high onboard computational power, impeding its wider adoption in engineering systems, especially for nonlinear real-time systems with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-03 Amin Vahidi-Moghaddam , Kaian Chen , Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Yan Wang , Kai Wu

This proposed work introduces a data-assimilation-assisted approach to train neural networks, aimed at effectively reducing epistemic uncertainty in state estimates of separated flows. This method, referred to as model-consistent training,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-02 Minghan Chu

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric method for state estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems, which evolve according to gradient flows with isotropic diffusion. We combine diffusion maps, a manifold…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-26 Tal Shnitzer , Ronen Talmon , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Compressed Estimation approaches, such as the Generalised Compressed Kalman Filter (GCKF), reduce the computational cost and complexity of high dimensional and high frequency data assimilation problems; usually without sacrificing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Karan Narula , Jose Guivant

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

Several variations of the Kalman filter algorithm, such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), are widely used in science and engineering applications. In this paper, we introduce two algorithms of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Wei Kang , Liang Xu