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The object of this paper is twofold. From one side we study the dichotomy, in terms of the Extremal Index of the possible Extreme Value Laws, when the rare events are centred around periodic or non periodic points. Then we build a general…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Hale Aytaç , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

We consider the limiting fluctuations of the geodesic in the directed landscape, conditioning on its length going to infinity. It was shown in \cite{Liu22b,Ganguly-Hegde-Zhang23} that when the directed landscape $\mathcal{L}(0,0;0,1) = L$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Zhipeng Liu , Chen Ma , Tejaswi Tripathi

The study of transversal fluctuation of the optimal path has been a crucial aspect of the Kadar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) universality class. In this paper, we establish a new probability lower bound, with optimal exponential order, for the rare…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Xiao Shen

We consider the Constrained-degree percolation model in random environment on the square lattice. In this model, each vertex $v$ has an independent random constraint ${\kappa}_v$ which takes the value $j\in \{0,1,2,3\}$ with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Rémy Sanchis , Diogo C. dos Santos , Roger W. C. Silva

We present a closed-form expression for the survival probability of a biased random walker to first reach a target site on a 1D lattice. The expression holds for any step number $N$ and is computationally faster than non-closed-form results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-02 Debendro Mookerjee , Sarah Kostinski

We determine the full distribution and moments of the first passage time for a wide class of stochastic search processes in the limit of frequent stochastic resetting. Our results apply to any system whose short-time behavior of the search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-22 Samantha Linn , Sean D Lawley

We prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly moving nonlinear boundary for a class of Gaussian stationary processes. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Nikita Karagodin

We study the large deviation estimates for the short time asymptotic behavior of a strongly degenerate diffusion process. Assuming a nilpotent structure of the Lie algebra generated by the driving vector fields, we obtain a graded large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Gérard Ben Arous , Jing Wang

We investigate the statistics of selected rare events in a (1+1)-dimensional (classical) stochastic growth model which describes the evolution of (quantum) random unitary circuits. In such classical formulation, particles are created and/or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-22 S. L. A. de Queiroz

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

We prove a large deviation principle and give an expression for the rate function, for the last passage time in a Bernoulli environment. The model is exactly solvable and its invariant version satisfies a Burke-type property. Finally, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Federico Ciech , Nicos Georgiou

We consider last passage percolation (LPP) models with exponentially distributed random variables, which are linked to the totally asymmetric simple exclusion process (TASEP). The competition interface for LPP was introduced and studied by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-12-14 Patrik L. Ferrari , Peter Nejjar

We consider directed last passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with exponential passage times on the vertices. A topic of great interest is the coupling structure of the weights of geodesics as the endpoints are varied spatially and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Lingfu Zhang

In 1999, Zhang proved that, for first passage percolation on the square lattice $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with i.i.d. non-negative edge weights, if the probability that the passage time distribution of an edge $P(t_e = 0) =1/2 $, the critical value…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Shankar Bhamidi , Rick Durrett , Xiangying Huang

We show that oriented percolation occurs whenever a condition is satisfied called "exponential intersection tails". This condition says that a measure on paths exists for which the probability of two independent paths intersecting in more…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Itai Benjamini , Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres

The statistics of the slowest first-passage time among a large population of $N$ searchers is crucial for determining the completion time of many stochastic processes. Classical extreme-value theory predicts that for diffusing particles in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-24 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

For a class of Gaussian stationary processes, we prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly growing linear boundary. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Nikita Karagodin , Mikhail Lifshits

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

We prove $\sqrt{\log n}$ lower bounds on the order of growth fluctuations in three planar growth models (first-passage percolation, last-passage percolation, and directed polymers) under no assumptions on the distribution of vertex or edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Erik Bates , Sourav Chatterjee