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The resource quality and the temporal generation pattern of variable renewable energy sources vary significantly across Europe. In this paper spatial distributions of renewable assets are explored which exploit this heterogeneity to lower…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-05 Emil H. Eriksen , Leon J. Schwenk-Nebbe , Bo Tranberg , Tom Brown , Martin Greiner

Time series foundation models excel in zero-shot forecasting, handling diverse tasks without explicit training. However, the advancement of these models has been hindered by the lack of comprehensive benchmarks. To address this gap, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Taha Aksu , Gerald Woo , Juncheng Liu , Xu Liu , Chenghao Liu , Silvio Savarese , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Pricing advanced data products - particularly in complex fields such as semiconductor manufacturing - is a fundamentally challenging task due to the sparsity of publicly available transaction data, and its frequent heterogeneity and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Adam L. Siemiatkowski , Victor Zhirnov , Kashyap Yellai , Gabriella Bein , Terresa Zimmerman

We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar

In many time series forecasting settings, the target time series is accompanied by exogenous covariates, such as promotions and prices in retail demand; temperature in energy load; calendar and holiday indicators for traffic or sales; and…

Link prediction is a fundamental task in graph machine learning with widespread applications such as recommendation systems, drug discovery, knowledge graphs, etc. In the foundation model era, how to develop universal link prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Tianyin Liao , Chunyu Hu , Yicheng Sui , Xingxuan Zhang , Peng Cui , Jianxin Li , Ziwei Zhang

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Recent advances in CV and NLP have inspired researchers to develop general-purpose graph foundation models through pre-training across diverse domains. However, a fundamental challenge arises from the substantial differences in graph…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Shuo Wang , Bokui Wang , Zhixiang Shen , Boyan Deng , Zhao Kang

Time series forecasting drives operational decisions in areas like finance, transportation, and energy. While supervised learning approaches achieve strong performance, they require domain-specific training, feature engineering, and ongoing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Kavin Soni , Debanshu Das , Vamshi Guduguntla

Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jinglin Li , Jun Tan , QI Fang , Ning Gui

Electricity prices in liberalized markets are determined by the supply and demand for electric power, which are in turn driven by various external influences that vary strongly in time. In perfect competition, the merit order principle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Julius Trebbien , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Aaron Praktiknjo , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

To achieve ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in time, the planning of future energy systems needs to accommodate societal preferences, e.g. low levels of acceptance for transmission expansion or onshore wind turbines, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Neumann , Tom Brown

This paper combines a techno-economic energy system model with an econometric model to maximise electricity price forecasting accuracy. The proposed combination model is tested on the German day-ahead wholesale electricity market. Our paper…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Souhir Ben Amor , Thomas Möbius , Felix Müsgens

The financial viability of renewable energy projects is challenged by the variability and unpredictability of production due to weather fluctuations. This paper proposes a novel risk management framework combining parametric insurance and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-29 Fallou Niakh , Alicia Bassière , Michel Denuit , Christian Robert

The recent research report of U.S. Department of Energy prompts us to re-examine the pricing theories applied in electricity market design. The theory of spot pricing is the basis of electricity market design in many countries, but it has…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-24 Haoyong Chen , Lijia Han

Accurate and reliable electricity price forecasting has significant practical implications for grid management, renewable energy integration, power system planning, and price volatility management. This study focuses on enhancing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-12 Joseph Nyangon , Ruth Akintunde

Probabilistic forecasting in combination with stochastic programming is a key tool for handling the growing uncertainties in future energy systems. Derived from a general stochastic programming formulation for the optimal scheduling and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-25 Mario Beykirch , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

Pathology foundation models (PFMs) have rapidly advanced and are becoming a common backbone for downstream clinical tasks, offering strong transferability across tissues and institutions. However, for dense prediction (e.g., segmentation),…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-05 Weiming Chen , Xitong Ling , Xidong Wang , Zhenyang Cai , Yijia Guo , Mingxi Fu , Ziyi Zeng , Minxi Ouyang , Jiawen Li , Yizhi Wang , Tian Guan , Benyou Wang , Yonghong He

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for supply chain optimization, yet remains difficult in practice due to hierarchical complexity, domain shifts, and evolving external factors. While recent foundation models offer strong potential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Wei Yang , Defu Cao , Yan Liu
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