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Related papers: Uncertainty-aware Predict-Then-Optimize Framework …

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This paper presents a novel optimization framework of formulating the three-phase optimal power flow that involves uncertainty. The proposed uncertainty-aware optimization (UaO) framework is: 1) a deterministic framework that is less…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Qifeng Li

Extreme weather is straining electricity systems, exposing the limitations of reactive responses, and prompting the need for proactive resilience planning. Most existing approaches to enhance electricity system resilience employ simplified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Shuyi Chen , Shixiang Zhu , Ramteen Sioshansi

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

Energy usage prediction is important for various real-world applications, including grid management, infrastructure planning, and disaster response. Although a plethora of deep learning approaches have been proposed to perform this task,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Dahai Yu , Rongchao Xu , Dingyi Zhuang , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Extreme weather events, such as severe storms, hurricanes, snowstorms, and ice storms, which are exacerbated by climate change, frequently cause widespread power outages. These outages halt industrial operations, impact communities, damage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xuyang Shen , Zijie Pan , Diego Cerrai , Xinxuan Zhang , Christopher Colorio , Emmanouil N. Anagnostou , Dongjin Song

We study fair allocation of constrained resources, where a market designer optimizes overall welfare while maintaining group fairness. In many large-scale settings, utilities are not known in advance, but are instead observed after…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Elita Lobo , Justin Payan , Cyrus Cousins , Yair Zick

Accurate grid load forecasting is safety-critical: under-predictions risk supply shortfalls, while symmetric error metrics can mask this operational asymmetry. We introduce an operator-legible evaluation framework -- Under-Prediction Rate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Sunki Hong , Jisoo Lee

Data-driven approaches to predict-then-optimize decision-making problems seek to mitigate the risk of uncertainty region misspecification in safety-critical settings. Current approaches, however, suffer from considering overly conservative…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Yash Patel , Sahana Rayan , Ambuj Tewari

We consider some crucial problems related to the secure and reliable operation of power systems with high renewable penetrations: how much reserve should we procure, how should reserve resources distribute among different locations, and how…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-19 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun

The increasing number of wildfires in recent years consistently challenges the safe and reliable operations of power systems. To prevent power lines and other electrical components from causing wildfires under extreme conditions, electric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-26 Yuqi Zhou , Ahmed Zamzam , Andrey Bernstein

A robust power scheduling algorithm is proposed to schedule power flow between the main electricity grid and a microgird with solar energy generation and battery energy storage subject to uncertainty in solar energy production. To avoid…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Amir Valibeygi , Abdulelah H. Habib , Raymond A. de Callafon

The rapid growth of distributed energy resources (DERs) presents both opportunities and operational challenges for electric grid management. Accurately predicting DER adoption is critical for proactive infrastructure planning, but the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-17 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

Load shedding is usually the last resort to balance generation and demand to maintain stable operation of the electric grid after major disturbances. Current load-shedding optimization practices focus mainly on the physical optimality of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-27 Xin Fang , Wenbo Wang , Fei Ding

Probabilistic forecasting in combination with stochastic programming is a key tool for handling the growing uncertainties in future energy systems. Derived from a general stochastic programming formulation for the optimal scheduling and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-25 Mario Beykirch , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

Accurate probabilistic modeling of the power system restoration process is essential for resilience planning, operational decision-making, and realistic simulation of resilience events. In this work, we develop data-driven probabilistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Extreme weather events are increasingly common due to climate change, posing significant risks. To mitigate further damage, a shift towards renewable energy is imperative. Unfortunately, underrepresented communities that are most affected…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Alejandro Aparcedo , Christian Lopez , Abhinav Kotta , Mengjie Li

Security of supply is a common and important concern when integrating renewables in net-zero power systems. Extreme weather affects both demand and supply leading to power system stress; in Europe this stress spreads continentally beyond…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Aleksander Grochowicz , Hannah C. Bloomfield , Marta Victoria

Major disasters such as wildfire, tornado, hurricane, tropical storm, flooding cause disruptions in infrastructure systems such as power outage, disruption to water supply system, wastewater management, telecommunication failures, and…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-24 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan

To manage renewable generation and load consumption uncertainty, chance-constrained optimal power flow (OPF) formulations and various solution methodologies have been proposed. However, conventional solution approaches often rely on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Bowen Li , Ruiwei Jiang , Johanna L. Mathieu