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To limit the global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius, fossil-free energy systems will be required eventually. To understand how such systems can be designed, the current state-of-the-art is to apply techno-economical optimisation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-01 K. Zhu , M. Victoria , G. B. Andresen , M. Greiner

Space and water heating accounts for about 40% of final energy consumption in the European Union and thus plays a key role in reducing overall costs and greenhouse gas emissions. Many scenarios to reach net-zero emissions in buildings rely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-08 Elisabeth Zeyen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Tom Brown

The transition to net-zero emissions in Europe is determined by a patchwork of country-level and EU-wide policy, creating coordination challenges in an interconnected system. We use an optimisation model to map out near-optimal energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-30 Koen van Greevenbroek , Aleksander Grochowicz , Marianne Zeyringer , Fred Espen Benth

The demand for electricity is undergoing considerable spatial and temporal change. With the uptake of efficient technologies and increased electrification, a better understanding of how potential changes in demand patterns can affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-13 Conrad Zorn , Elco Koks , Sven Eggimann

We use three ensemble members of the EURO-CORDEX project and their data on surface wind speeds, solar irradiation as well as water runoff with a spatial resolution of 12 km and a temporal resolution of 3 hours under representative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-09 Markus Schlott , Alexander Kies , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Energy system models for long-term planning are widely used to explore the future electricity system. Typically, to represent the future electricity demand in these models, historical demand profiles are used directly or scaled up linearly.…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-10-14 Xiaoming Kan , Lina Reichenberg , Fredrik Hedenus

Residential demands for space heating and hot water account for 31% of the total European energy demand. Space heating is highly dependent on ambient conditions and susceptible to climate change. We adopt a techno-economic standpoint and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-18 S. Kozarcanin , R. Hanna , I. Staffell , R. Gross , G. B. Andresen

The demand-supply balance of electricity systems is fundamentally linked to climate conditions. In light of this, the present study aims to model the effect of climate change on the European electricity system, specifically on its long-term…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-29 Inès Harang , Fabian Heymann , Laurens P. Stoop

In order to mitigate the impacts of the energy crise, the European Union has proposed various measures. For the power sector a directive prescribes a shift of 5% of the demand in 10% of the peak hours, plus a voluntary 10% overall demand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Alice Di Bella , Massimo Tavoni

We use an open, hourly-resolved, networked model of the European energy system to investigate the storage requirements under decreasing CO$_2$ emissions targets and several sector-coupling scenarios. For the power system, significant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-22 Marta Victoria , Kun Zhu , Tom Brown , Gorm B. Andresen , Martin Greiner

Load shifting by commercial and industrial power consumers reduces costs and Scope 2 emissions for the consumer and the grid. Incentivizing this behavior requires tools for valuing flexibility amidst the heterogeneity in load…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-20 Akshay K. Rao , Fletcher T. Chapin , Erin Musabandesu , Adhithyan Sakthivelu , Carson Tucker , Daly Wettermark , Meagan S. Mauter

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Efforts to reduce climate change, but also falling prices and significant technology developments currently drive an increased weather-dependent electricity production from renewable electricity sources. In light of the changing climate, it…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Smail Kozarcanin , Hailiang Liu , Gorm Bruun Andresen

As the availability of weather-dependent, zero marginal cost resources such as wind and solar power increases, a variety of flexible electricity loads, or `demand sinks', could be deployed to use intermittently available low-cost…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Sam van der Jagt , Neha Patankar , Jesse Jenkins

This paper explores the impacts of decarbonisation of heat on demand and subsequently on the generation capacity required to secure against system adequacy standards. Gas demand is explored as a proxy variable for modelling the…

The decarbonisation of heat in developed economies represents a significant challenge, with increased penetration of electrical heating technologies potentially leading to unprecedented increases in peak electricity demand. This work…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-26 Matthew Deakin , Sarah Sheehy , David M. Greenwood , Sara Walker , Phil C. Taylor

A rapid expansion of system flexibility is essential to integrate increasing shares of renewable energy into future energy systems. However, flexibility needs and technology-specific contributions to flexibility remain poorly quantified in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-02 Julian Geis , Michael Lindner , Tom Brown

Renewable energy sources play a major role in future net-zero energy systems. However, achieving energy system resilience remains challenging, since renewables depend on weather fluctuations, and future energy systems are subject to major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-16 Luna Bloin-Wibe , Erich Fischer , Leonard Göke , Reto Knutti , Francesco de Marco , Jan Wohland

Building heat electrification is central to economy-wide decarbonization efforts and directly affects energy infrastructure planning through increasing electricity demand and reducing the building sector's use of gas infrastructure that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Rahman Khorramfar , Morgan Santoni-Colvin , Saurabh Amin , Leslie K. Norford , Audun Botterud , Dharik Mallapragada

Climate and energy policy targets of the European Commission aim to make Europe the first climate-neutral continent by 2050. For low-carbon and net-neutral energy systems primarily based on variable renewable power generation, issues…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-06 Diana Böttger , Philipp Härtel
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