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We present VisionFM, a foundation model pre-trained with 3.4 million ophthalmic images from 560,457 individuals, covering a broad range of ophthalmic diseases, modalities, imaging devices, and demography. After pre-training, VisionFM…

Recent time series modeling faces a sharp divide between numerical generation and semantic understanding, with research showing that generation models often rely on superficial pattern matching, while understanding-oriented models struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Tong Guan , Sheng Pan , Johan Barthelemy , Zhao Li , Yujun Cai , Cesare Alippi , Ming Jin , Shirui Pan

Time series forecasting (TSF) has been a challenging research area, and various models have been developed to address this task. However, almost all these models are trained with numerical time series data, which is not as effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Luoxiao Yang , Xinqi Fan , Zijun Zhang

Foundation models (FMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their success has not yet translated to time series forecasting. Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Lars Graf , Thomas Ortner , Stanisław Woźniak , Angeliki Pantazi

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

Time series forecasting traditionally relies on unimodal numerical inputs, which often struggle to capture high-level semantic patterns due to their dense and unstructured nature. While recent approaches have explored representing time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Sixun Dong , Wei Fan , Teresa Wu , Yanjie Fu

In this paper, we find that ubiquitous time series (TS) forecasting models are prone to severe overfitting. To cope with this problem, we embrace a de-redundancy approach to progressively reinstate the intrinsic values of TS for future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan , Bingzheng Zhang , Minggao Zhang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated increasing capabilities due to their extensive pretraining on large volumes of diverse time series data. Consequently, the quality of time series data is crucial to TSFM performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Shunyu Wu , Tianyue Li , Yixuan Leng , Jingyi Suo , Jian Lou , Dan Li , See-Kiong Ng

Recent research on time-series foundation models (TSFMs) has underscored the scarcity of real-world data, often supplemented with synthetic sources in existing datasets, whose generalizability remains however debated. As such, in this work,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Lujun Li , Lama Sleem , Yiqun Wang , Yangjie Xu , Niccolò Gentile , Radu State

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Time series classification is a fundamental task in healthcare and industry, yet the development of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remains limited by the scarcity of publicly available time series datasets. In this work, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Simon Roschmann , Quentin Bouniot , Vasilii Feofanov , Ievgen Redko , Zeynep Akata

Advances in time-series forecasting are driving a shift from conventional machine learning models to foundation models (FMs) that are trained with generalized knowledge. However, existing FMs still perform poorly in the energy fields, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Rui Liang , Yang Deng , Donghua Xie , Fang He , Dan Wang

Multi-variate time series (MTS) data is a ubiquitous class of data abstraction in the real world. Any instance of MTS is generated from a hybrid dynamical system and their specific dynamics are usually unknown. The hybrid nature of such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Jinliang Deng , Xiusi Chen , Renhe Jiang , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) forecasting is challenging due to the unaligned nature of multi-channel signals and the prevalence of extensive missing data. Existing methods struggle to capture reliable temporal patterns from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Zhangyi Hu , Jiemin Wu , Hua Xu , Mingqian Liao , Ninghui Feng , Bo Gao , Songning Lai , Yutao Yue

Time series, typically represented as numerical sequences, can also be transformed into images and texts, offering multi-modal views (MMVs) of the same underlying signal. These MMVs can reveal complementary patterns and enable the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 ChengAo Shen , Wenchao Yu , Ziming Zhao , Dongjin Song , Wei Cheng , Haifeng Chen , Jingchao Ni

In recent years, there has been increasing interest in developing foundation models for time series data that can generalize across diverse downstream tasks. While numerous forecasting-oriented foundation models have been introduced, there…

Scaling laws motivate the development of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) that pre-train vast parameters and achieve remarkable zero-shot forecasting performance. Surprisingly, even after fine-tuning, TSFMs cannot consistently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen , Zhaoyang Liu , Xue Wang , Jiaji Deng

Time series forecasting is a long-standing and highly challenging research topic. Recently, driven by the rise of large language models (LLMs), research has increasingly shifted from purely time series methods toward harnessing textual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Shiqiao Zhou , Holger Schöner , Huanbo Lyu , Edouard Fouché , Shuo Wang

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau

Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) are rapidly transitioning from research prototypes to core components of critical decision-making systems, driven by their impressive zero-shot forecasting capabilities. However, as their deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Jiawen Zhang , Zhenwei Zhang , Shun Zheng , Xumeng Wen , Jia Li , Jiang Bian