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This paper gives new concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of a wide class of matrix martingales in continuous time. These results extend previously established Freedman and Bernstein inequalities for series of random matrices to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-28 Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Jean-François Muzy

We give Hoeffding and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities for the largest eigenvalue of sums of random matrices arising from a Markov chain. We consider time-dependent matrix-valued functions on a general state space, generalizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Joe Neeman , Bobby Shi , Rachel Ward

In this paper, we establish novel concentration inequalities for additive functionals of geometrically ergodic Markov chains similar to Rosenthal inequalities for sums of independent random variables. We pay special attention to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Marina Sheshukova

We prove Fuk-Nagaev and Rosenthal-type inequalities for sums of independent random matrices, focusing on the situation when the norms of the matrices possess finite moments of only low orders. Our bounds depend on the ``intrinsic''…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Moritz Jirak , Stanislav Minsker , Yiqiu Shen , Martin Wahl

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

This paper derives exponential tail bounds and polynomial moment inequalities for the spectral norm deviation of a random matrix from its mean value. The argument depends on a matrix extension of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Daniel Paulin , Lester Mackey , Joel A. Tropp

In this paper, we establish moment and Bernstein-type inequalities for additive functionals of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. These inequalities extend the corresponding inequalities for independent random variables. Our conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov

We prove a new concentration inequality for U-statistics of order two for uniformly ergodic Markov chains. Working with bounded and $\pi$-canonical kernels, we show that we can recover the convergence rate of Arcones and Gin{\'e} who proved…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro , Claire Lacour

We derive new concentration bounds for time averages of measurement outcomes in quantum Markov processes. This generalizes well-known bounds for classical Markov chains which provide constraints on finite time fluctuations of time-additive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Federico Girotti , Juan P. Garrahan , Mădălin Guţă

The aim of this paper is to propose new Rosenthal-type inequalities for moments of order higher than 2 of the maximum of partial sums of stationary sequences including martingales and their generalizations. As in the recent results by…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

We establish novel and general high-dimensional concentration inequalities and Berry-Esseen bounds for vector-valued martingales induced by Markov chains. We apply these results to analyze the performance of the Temporal Difference (TD)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Weichen Wu , Yuting Wei , Alessandro Rinaldo

We present Rosenthal-type moment inequalities for matrix-valued U-statistics of order 2. As a corollary, we obtain new matrix concentration inequalities for U-statistics. One of our main technical tools, a version of the non-commutative…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Bob Pepin

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We establish Chernoff-type bounds for the largest eigenvalue of sums of Hermitian random matrices generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain. Our primary regime assumes a compact state space and contractivity of each Markov kernel in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Luca Zanetti

We consider the stochastic integrals of multivariate point processes and study their concentration phenomena. In particular, we obtain a Bernstein type of concentration inequality through Dol\'eans-Dade exponential formula and a uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Hanchao Wang , Zhengyan Lin , Zhonggen Su

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

We prove a version of McDiarmid's bounded differences inequality for Markov chains, with constants proportional to the mixing time of the chain. We also show variance bounds and Bernstein-type inequalities for empirical averages of Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Daniel Paulin

We prove an inequality for the spectral norm of matrix valued stochastic integrals. This inequality can be seen either as a non-commutative version of the Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequality or as an extension of the non-commutative…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Tom Maître

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff
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