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We introduce a class of algorithms, termed proximal interacting particle Langevin algorithms (PIPLA), for inference and learning in latent variable models whose joint probability density is non-differentiable. Leveraging proximal Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-30 Paula Cordero Encinar , Francesca R. Crucinio , O. Deniz Akyildiz

We introduce a new method for online parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems, based on continuous observation of a small number of particles from the system. Our method recursively updates the model parameters using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

In this paper, we study weakly interacting diffusion processes on random graphs. Our main focus is on the properties of the mean-field limit and, in particular, on the nonuniqueness and bifurcation structure of stationary states. By…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Benedetta Bertoli , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Niccolò Zagli

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

Estimating the probability of failures or accidents with aerospace systems is often necessary when new concepts or designs are introduced, as it is being done for Autonomous Aircraft. If the design is safe, as it is supposed to be, accident…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-10 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Jeffery Musiak

In this paper, we prove that the weak error between a stochastic differential equation with nonlinearity in the sense of McKean given by moments and its approximation by the Euler discretization with time-step h of a system of N interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Oumaima Bencheikh , Benjamin Jourdain

We consider a system of $N$ interacting particles, governed by transport and diffusion, that converges in a mean-field limit to the solution of a McKean-Vlasov equation. From the observation of a trajectory of the system over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Laetitia Della Maestra , Marc Hoffmann

High-resolution simulations of particle-based kinetic plasma models typically require a high number of particles and thus often become computationally intractable. This is exacerbated in multi-query simulations, where the problem depends on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Jan S. Hesthaven , Cecilia Pagliantini , Nicolò Ripamonti

This paper presents a novel approach for approximate integration over the uncertainty of noise and signal variances in Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our efficient and straightforward approach can also be applied to integration over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Ville Tolvanen , Pasi Jylänki , Aki Vehtari

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

Building on the well-posedness of the backward Kolmogorov partial differential equation in the Wasserstein space, we analyze the strong and weak convergence rates for approximating the unique solution of a class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Noufel Frikha , Xuanye Song

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe dynamical systems in science, but identifying parameters that explain experimental measurements is challenging. In particular, although ODEs are differentiable and would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Jonas Beck , Nathanael Bosch , Michael Deistler , Kyra L. Kadhim , Jakob H. Macke , Philipp Hennig , Philipp Berens

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We study parameter estimation for univariate stochastic differential equations with locally Lipschitz drift and H\"older continuous multiplicative diffusion, a class commonly arising in several applications. Existing inference methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Bowen Fang , Dario Spanò , Massimiliano Tamborrino

We consider a particle system with a mean-field-type interaction perturbed by some common and individual noises. When the interacting kernels are sublinear and only locally Lipschitz-continuous, relying on arguments based on the tightness…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Angelo Rosello

We develop quantitative error estimates connecting microscopic fluctuation of interacting particle systems with the mobilities of their hydrodynamic limits. Focusing on the Symmetric Simple Exclusion Process and systems of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Nicolas Dirr , Zhengyan Wu , Johannes Zimmer

We present an efficient algorithm to compute tight upper bounds of collision probability between two objects with positional uncertainties, whose error distributions are represented with non-Gaussian forms. Our approach can handle noisy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Jae Sung Park , Dinesh Manocha

In the study of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs), numerical approximation plays a crucial role in understanding the behavior of interacting particle systems (IPS). Classical Milstein schemes provide strong…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Jingtao Zhu , Yuying Zhao , Siqing Gan

We introduce a simple, rigorous, and unified framework for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), and for solving inverse problems (IPs) involving the identification of parameters in PDEs, using the framework of Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Yifan Chen , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M Stuart

Recently, we proposed a method to estimate parameters of stochastic dynamics based on the linear response statistics. The method rests upon a nonlinear least-squares problem that takes into account the response properties that stem from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-24 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li
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