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We consider estimation of high-dimensional long-run covariance matrices for time series with nonconstant means, a setting in which conventional estimators can be severely biased. To address this difficulty, we propose a difference-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Yanhong Liu , Fengyi Song , Long Feng

Model selection has been proven an effective strategy for improving accuracy in time series forecasting applications. However, when dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from selecting the most appropriate forecasting model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Evangelos Spiliotis , Christoph Bergmeir

Accurate forecasting of long-term time series has important applications for decision making and planning. However, it remains challenging to capture the long-term dependencies in time series data. To better extract long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Feifei Li , Suhan Guo , Feng Han , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Data imputation and data generation have important applications for many domains, like healthcare and finance, where incomplete or missing data can hinder accurate analysis and decision-making. Diffusion models have emerged as powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Mario Villaizán-Vallelado , Matteo Salvatori , Carlos Segura , Ioannis Arapakis

Tensor time series, which is a time series consisting of tensorial observations, has become ubiquitous. It typically exhibits high dimensionality. One approach for dimension reduction is to use a factor model structure, in a form similar to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 Yuefeng Han , Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-Hui Zhang

Multiscale spatial structure complicates temporal prediction because small-scale spatial fluctuations influence large-scale evolution, yet resolving all scales is often intractable. Standard diffusion models do not address this problem…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-02 Yuki Yasuda , Tobias Bischoff

Mining useful clusters from high dimensional data has received significant attention of the computer vision and pattern recognition community in the recent years. Linear and non-linear dimensionality reduction has played an important role…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-05-25 Nauman Shahid , Nathanael Perraudin , Vassilis Kalofolias , Gilles Puy , Pierre Vandergheynst

I develop a feasible weighted projected principal component (FPPC) analysis for factor models in which observable characteristics partially explain the latent factors. This novel method provides more efficient and accurate estimators than…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-23 Sung Hoon Choi

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

This paper proposes two distinct contributions to econometric analysis of large information sets and structural instabilities. First, it treats a regression model with time-varying coefficients, stochastic volatility and exogenous…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-27 Dimitris Korobilis

In this paper, we apply shrinkage strategies to estimate regression coefficients efficiently for the high-dimensional multiple regression model, where the number of samples is smaller than the number of predictors. We assume in the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-19 B. Yuzbasi , M. Arashi , S. E. Ahmed

Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) has recently been used in the field of single-index models to estimate the directions. Compared with some other well-established methods, it requires relatively weaker conditions. However, its…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-19 Runxiong Wu , Chang Deng , Xin Chen

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

As tensors become widespread in modern data analysis, Tucker low-rank Principal Component Analysis (PCA) has become essential for dimensionality reduction and structural discovery in tensor datasets. Motivated by the common scenario where…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Elynn Chen , Xi Chen , Wenbo Jing , Yichen Zhang

The multi-index model is a simple yet powerful high-dimensional regression model which circumvents the curse of dimensionality assuming $ \mathbb{E} [ Y | X ] = g(A^\top X) $ for some unknown index space $A$ and link function $g$. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Timo Klock , Alessandro Lanteri , Stefano Vigogna

We introduce a new method for detecting scaling in time series. The method uses the properties of the probability flux for stochastic self-affine processes and is called the probability flux analysis (PFA). The advantages of this method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-04-05 M. Ignaccolo , P. Grigolini , B. J. West

This paper explores the use of score-based diffusion models for Bayesian image reconstruction. Diffusion models are an efficient tool for generative modeling. Diffusion models can also be used for solving image reconstruction problems. We…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Michael T. McCann , Hyungjin Chung , Jong Chul Ye , Marc L. Klasky

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

Our aim is to evaluate fundamental parameters from the analysis of the electromagnetic spectra of stars. We may use $10^3$-$10^5$ spectra; each spectrum being a vector with $10^2$-$10^4$ coordinates. We thus face the so-called "curse of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-08 V. Watson , JF. Trouilhet , F. Paletou , S. Girard

Diffusion models are the mainstream approach for time series generation tasks. However, existing diffusion models for time series generation require retraining the entire framework to introduce specific conditional guidance. There also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Mingchun Sun , Rongqiang Zhao , Hengrui Hu , Songyu Ding , Jie Liu