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I propose a framework for an agent to change its probabilistic beliefs when a new piece of propositional information $\alpha$ is observed. Traditionally, belief change occurs by either a revision process or by an update process, depending…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-04-08 Gavin Rens

Self-evolving agents offer a promising path toward scalable autonomy. However, in this work, we show that in competitive environments, self-evolution can instead give rise to a serious and previously underexplored risk: the spontaneous…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Zonghao Ying , Haowen Dai , Tianyuan Zhang , Yisong Xiao , Quanchen Zou , Aishan Liu , Jian Yang , Yaodong Yang , Xianglong Liu

We consider an agent who represents uncertainty about the environment via a possibly misspecified model. Each period, the agent takes an action, observes a consequence, and uses Bayes' rule to update her belief about the environment. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-10-24 Ignacio Esponda , Demian Pouzo , Yuichi Yamamoto

The last few years have witnessed substantial progress in the field of embodied AI where artificial agents, mirroring biological counterparts, are now able to learn from interaction to accomplish complex tasks. Despite this success,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Sarah Pratt , Luca Weihs , Ali Farhadi

In this paper we formulate the problem of inference under incomplete information in very general terms. This includes modelling the process responsible for the incompleteness, which we call the incompleteness process. We allow the process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Marco Zaffalon , Enrique Miranda

Contextual policy search allows adapting robotic movement primitives to different situations. For instance, a locomotion primitive might be adapted to different terrain inclinations or desired walking speeds. Such an adaptation is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Jan Hendrik Metzen

We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

Agents can achieve effective interaction with previously unknown other agents by maintaining beliefs over a set of hypothetical behaviours, or types, that these agents may have. A current limitation in this method is that it does not…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Stefano V. Albrecht , Peter Stone

The long-term growth rate of populations in varying environments quantifies the evolutionary value of processing the information that biological individuals inherit from their ancestors and acquire from their environment. Previous models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-30 Anton S Zadorin , Olivier Rivoire

The minority model was introduced to study the competition between agents with limited information. It has the remarkable feature that, as the amount of information available increases, the collective gain made by the agents is reduced.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. A. R. de Cara , O. Pla , F. Guinea

We study the problem of an agent continuously faced with the decision of placing or not placing trust in an institution. The agent makes use of Bayesian learning in order to estimate the institution's true trustworthiness and makes the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-06 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

We examine how causal beliefs affect an agent's choices and how feedback on those choices leads to updated causal beliefs. Building on the structural-equations framework for modeling causality, we first examine the general problem of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont , Marie-Louise Vierø

Whether a population of decision-making individuals will reach a state of satisfactory decisions is a fundamental problem in studying collective behaviors. In the framework of evolutionary game theory and by means of potential functions,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Negar Sakhaei , Zeinab Maleki , Pouria Ramazi

Classical Bayesian persuasion assumes that senders fully understand how receivers form beliefs and make decisions--an assumption that rarely holds when receivers possess private information or exhibit non-Bayesian behavior. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Evolution gave rise to human and animal intelligence here on Earth. We argue that the path to developing artificial human-like-intelligence will pass through mimicking the evolutionary process in a nature-like simulation. In Nature, there…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-07 João P. Abrantes , Arnaldo J. Abrantes , Frans A. Oliehoek

Agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly permeating various domains of human production and life, highlighting the importance of aligning them with human values. The current alignment of AI systems primarily focuses on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Shimin Li , Tianxiang Sun , Qinyuan Cheng , Xipeng Qiu

Modelling other agents' behaviors plays an important role in decision models for interactions among multiple agents. To optimise its own decisions, a subject agent needs to model what other agents act simultaneously in an uncertain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Yinghui Pan , Hanyi Zhang , Yifeng Zeng , Biyang Ma , Jing Tang , Zhong Ming

We consider a heterogeneous agent-based economic model where economic agents have strictly bounded rationality and where income allocation strategies evolve through selective imitation. Income is calculated by a Cobb-Douglas type production…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Volker Nannen

Evolutionary game theory assumes that players replicate a highly scored player's strategy through genetic inheritance. However, when learning occurs culturally, it is often difficult to recognize someone's strategy just by observing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-01 Minjae Kim , Jung-Kyoo Choi , Seung Ki Baek

We consider a model of Bayesian observational learning in which a sequence of agents receives a private signal about an underlying binary state of the world. Each agent makes a decision based on its own signal and its observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Shuo Wu , Pawan Poojary , Randall Berry
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