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This paper is focused on SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic dynamics (also known as the contact process) on populations modelled by homogeneous Poisson point processes of the Euclidean plane, where the infection rate of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-19 François Baccelli , Nithin Ramesan

We derive the master equations for the Susceptible-Infected (SI) model on general hypernetworks with~$N$-body interactions. We solve these equations exactly for infinite~$d$-regular hypernetworks, and obtain an explicit solution for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-17 Gadi Fibich , Guy Rothmann

Multiple lines of evidence strongly suggest that infection hotspots, where a single individual infects many others, play a key role in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. However, most of the existing epidemiological models fail to…

We develop a spatially dependent generalisation to the Wells-Riley model and its extensions applied to COVID-19, that determines the infection risk due to airborne transmission of viruses. We assume that the concentration of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Zechariah Lau , Ian M. Griffiths , Aaron English , Katerina Kaouri

Households play an important role in disease dynamics. Many infections happening there due to the close contact, while mitigation measures mainly target the transmission between households. Therefore, one can see households as boosting the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-22 Philipp Doenges , Thomas Götz , Tyll Krueger , Karol Niedzielewski , Viola Priesemann , Moritz Schaefer

The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

As offered by the World Health Organisation (WHO), close to half of the population in the world's resides in dengue-risk zones. Dengue viruses are transmitted to individuals by Aedes mosquito species infected bite (Ae. Albopictus of Ae.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-12 Burcu Gürbüz , Aytül Gökçe , Segun I. Oke , Michael O. Adeniyi , Mayowa M. Ojo

Statistical and mathematical modeling are crucial to describe, interpret, compare and predict the behavior of complex biological systems including the organization of hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells in the bone marrow environment.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-07 Walter de Back , Thomas Zerjatke , Ingo Roeder

We study a mosquito-borne epidemic model where the vector population is distinct in aquatic and adult stages and a saturating effect of disease transmission is assumed to ocurr when the number of infectious (humans and mosquitoes) becomes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-10 E. Avila-Vales , B. Buonomo , N. Chan-Chi

Planting vegetation is one of the practical solutions for reducing sediment transfer rates. Increasing vegetation cover decreases environmental pollution and sediment transport rate (STR). Since sediments and vegetation interact complexly,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-21 Golnaz Mirzakhani , Elham Ghanbari-Adivi , Rohollah Fattahi , Mohammad Ehteram , Amir Mosavi , Ali Najah Ahmed , Ahmed El-Shafieg

Human mobility forms the backbone of contact patterns through which infectious diseases propagate, fundamentally shaping the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics and pandemics. While traditional models are often based on the assumption…

Spatial extent is a complicating factor in mathematical biology. The possibility that an action at point A cannot immediately affect what happens at point B creates the opportunity for spatial nonuniformity. This nonuniformity must change…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2014-01-03 Blake C. Stacey , Andreas Gros , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The reproductive habits of helminths are important for the study of the dynamics of their transmission. For populations of parasites distributed by Poisson or negative binomial models, these habits have already been studied. However, there…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-24 Gonzalo Maximiliano Lopez , Juan Pablo Aparicio

There has been interest in the interactions between infectious disease dynamics and behaviour for most of the history of mathematical epidemiology. This has included consideration of which mathematical models best capture each phenomenon,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-09 Matthew Ryan , Roslyn I. Hickson , Edward M. Hill , Thomas House , Valerie Isham , Dongni Zhang , Mick G. Roberts

Infectious diseases are caused by pathogenic microorganisms and can spread through different ways. Mathematical models and computational simulation have been used extensively to investigate the transmission and spread of infectious…

A theory of the spread of epidemics is formulated on the basis of pairwise interactions in a dilute system of random walkers (infected and susceptible animals) moving in n dimensions. The motion of an animal pair is taken to obey a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-08-26 V. M. Kenkre , S. Sugaya

To contain the propagation of emerging diseases that are transmissible from human to human, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) aimed at reducing the interactions between humans are usually implemented. One example of the latter kind of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-21 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

In face of climate change and increasing urbanization, the predictive mosquito-borne diseases (MBD) transmission models require constant updates. Thus, is urgent to comprehend the driving forces of this non stationary behavior, observed…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-22 Marcio Maciel Bastos , Luiz Max Carvalho , Eduardo Correa Araujo , Flávio Codeço Coelho

When an infectious disease propagates throughout society, the incidence function may rise at first due to an increase in pathogenicity and then decrease due to inhibitory effects until it reaches saturation. Effective vaccination and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Sushil Pathak , G. Shirisha , K. Venkata Ratnam

Tuberculosis (TB) continues to pose a major public health challenge, particularly in high-burden regions such as Ethiopia, necessitating a more profound understanding of its transmission dynamics. In this study, we developed an SVEITRS…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-26 Moksina Seyid , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Yassin Tesfaw Abebe