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Existing spatio-temporal Hawkes process models typically rely on either parametric or semiparametric assumptions, limiting the model's ability to capture complex endogenous and exogenous event dynamics. We propose a fully Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Wenqing Liu , Xenia Miscouridou , Déborah Sulem

Spatial regression of random fields based on potentially biased sensing information is proposed in this paper. One major concern in such applications is that since it is not known a-priori what the accuracy of the collected data from each…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-04 Qikun Xiang , Ido Nevat , Gareth W. Peters

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

Models of biological systems often have many unknown parameters that must be determined in order for model behavior to match experimental observations. Commonly-used methods for parameter estimation that return point estimates of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-31 Sanjana Gupta , Liam Hainsworth , Justin S. Hogg , Robin E. C. Lee , James R. Faeder

The Log-Gaussian Cox Process is a commonly used model for the analysis of spatial point patterns. Fitting this model is difficult because of its doubly-stochastic property, i.e., it is an hierarchical combination of a Poisson process at the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

Predictive dynamical models for marine ecosystems are used for a variety of needs. Due to sparse measurements and limited understanding of the myriad of ocean processes, there is however significant uncertainty. There is model uncertainty…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Abhinav Gupta , Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux

Bayesian calibration of computer models tunes unknown input parameters by comparing outputs with observations. For model outputs that are distributed over space, this becomes computationally expensive because of the output size. To overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Kai-Lan Chang , Serge Guillas

Adaptive Informative Path Planning with Multimodal Sensing (AIPPMS) considers the problem of an agent equipped with multiple sensors, each with different sensing accuracy and energy costs. The agent's goal is to explore the environment and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Joshua Ott , Edward Balaban , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

We study maximum likelihood estimation for spatial generalized linear mixed models with Gaussian process approximations using a stochastic Newton-Raphson algorithm. We consider two Gaussian Process approximations in this context: spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Samuel I. Watson , Yixin Wang , Emanuele Giorgi

Bayesian On-line Changepoint Detection is extended to on-line model selection and non-stationary spatio-temporal processes. We propose spatially structured Vector Autoregressions (VARs) for modelling the process between changepoints (CPs)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

Provably safe and scalable multi-vehicle path planning is an important and urgent problem due to the expected increase of automation in civilian airspace in the near future. Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) reachability is an ideal tool for analyzing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-15 Mo Chen , Somil Bansal , Ken Tanabe , Claire J. Tomlin

Understanding sub-cellular protein localisation is an essential component to analyse context specific protein function. Recent advances in quantitative mass-spectrometry (MS) have led to high resolution mapping of thousands of proteins to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-12 Oliver M. Crook , Kathryn S. Lilley , Laurent Gatto , Paul D. W. Kirk

With the proliferation of modern high-resolution measuring instruments mounted on satellites, planes, ground-based vehicles and monitoring stations, a need has arisen for statistical methods suitable for the analysis of large spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Matthias Katzfuss

Discrete random probability measures are central to Bayesian inference, particularly as priors for mixture modeling and clustering. A broad and unifying class is that of proper species sampling processes (SSPs), encompassing many Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Ramsés H. Mena , Christos Merkatas , Theodoros Nicoleris , Carlos E. Rodríguez

We propose a Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Process for modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics. The proposed model extends continuous-time neural Hawkes processes by integrating spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Christopher Chukwuemeka , Hojun You , Mikyoung Jun

For marine biologists, ascertaining the dependence structures between marine species and marine environments, such as sea surface temperature and ocean depth, is imperative for defining ecosystem functioning and providing insights into the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiroko Kato Solvang

Many biological and physical systems exhibit behaviour at multiple spatial, temporal or population scales. Multiscale processes provide challenges when they are to be simulated using numerical techniques. While coarser methods such as…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-12 Cameron A. Smith , Christian A. Yates
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