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Deep hedging trains neural networks to manage derivative risk under market frictions, but produces hedge ratios with no measure of model confidence -- a significant barrier to deployment. We introduce uncertainty quantification to the deep…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-12 Manan Poddar

This work studies the deep learning-based numerical algorithms for optimal hedging problems in markets with general convex transaction costs on the trading rates, focusing on their scalability of trading time horizon. Based on the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-29 Xiaofei Shi , Daran Xu , Zhanhao Zhang

Deep hedging uses recurrent neural networks to hedge financial products that cannot be fully hedged in incomplete markets. Previous work in this area focuses on minimizing some measure of quadratic hedging error by calculating pathwise…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Alok Das , Kiseop Lee

Inferring topological and geometrical information from data can offer an alternative perspective on machine learning problems. Methods from topological data analysis, e.g., persistent homology, enable us to obtain such information,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Christoph Hofer , Roland Kwitt , Marc Niethammer , Andreas Uhl

We train neural networks to learn optimal replication strategies for an option when two replicating instruments are available, namely the underlying and a hedging option. If the price of the hedging option matches that of the Black--Scholes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-23 John Armstrong , George Tatlow

We propose a deep hedging framework for index option portfolios, grounded in a realistic market simulator that captures the joint dynamics of S&P 500 returns and the full implied volatility surface. Our approach integrates surface-informed…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-14 Pascal François , Geneviève Gauthier , Frédéric Godin , Carlos O. Pérez-Mendoza

The Heston stochastic volatility model is a widely used tool in financial mathematics for pricing European options. However, its calibration remains computationally intensive and sensitive to local minima due to the model's nonlinear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Arman Zadgar , Somayeh Fallah , Farshid Mehrdoust , Juan E. Trinidad Segovia

We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

Techniques from deep learning play a more and more important role for the important task of calibration of financial models. The pioneering paper by Hernandez [Risk, 2017] was a catalyst for resurfacing interest in research in this area. In…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 Christian Bayer , Blanka Horvath , Aitor Muguruza , Benjamin Stemper , Mehdi Tomas

Dynamic hedging strategies are essential for effective risk management in derivatives markets, where volatility and market sentiment can greatly impact performance. This paper introduces a novel framework that leverages large language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Jie Yang , Yiqiu Tang , Yongjie Li , Lihua Zhang , Haoran Zhang

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Jovanka Lili Matic , Natalie Packham , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

We introduce a novel approach to options trading strategies using a highly scalable and data-driven machine learning algorithm. In contrast to traditional approaches that often require specifications of underlying market dynamics or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

Deep hedging represents a cutting-edge approach to risk management for financial derivatives by leveraging the power of deep learning. However, existing methods often face challenges related to computational inefficiency, sensitivity to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Lei Zhao , Lin Cai

We propose a new risk sensitive reinforcement learning approach for the dynamic hedging of options. The approach focuses on the minimization of the tail risk of the final P&L of the seller of an option. Different from most existing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Xianhua Peng , Xiang Zhou , Bo Xiao , Yi Wu

We study the capability of arbitrage-free neural-SDE market models to yield effective strategies for hedging options. In particular, we derive sensitivity-based and minimum-variance-based hedging strategies using these models and examine…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-01 Samuel N. Cohen , Christoph Reisinger , Sheng Wang

While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We investigate the adaptive robust control framework for portfolio optimization and loss-based hedging under drift and volatility uncertainty. Adaptive robust problems offer many advantages but require handling a double optimization problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Tao Chen , Michael Ludkovski

Path signatures have been proposed as a powerful representation of paths that efficiently captures the path's analytic and geometric characteristics, having useful algebraic properties including fast concatenation of paths through tensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-21 Motoya Ohnishi , Iretiayo Akinola , Jie Xu , Ajay Mandlekar , Fabio Ramos

We study pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty for a class of Markov processes which we call generalized affine processes and which includes the Black-Scholes model as well as the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Eva Lütkebohmert , Thorsten Schmidt , Julian Sester