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We combine high-dimensional factor models with fractional integration methods and derive models where nonstationary, potentially cointegrated data of different persistence is modelled as a function of common fractionally integrated factors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-12 Tobias Hartl

The problem of broad practical interest in spatiotemporal data analysis, i.e., discovering interpretable dynamic patterns from spatiotemporal data, is studied in this paper. Towards this end, we develop a time-varying reduced-rank vector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Xinyu Chen , Chengyuan Zhang , Xiaoxu Chen , Nicolas Saunier , Lijun Sun

Modern network data analysis often involves analyzing network structures alongside covariate features to gain deeper insights into underlying patterns. However, traditional covariate-assisted statistical network models may not adequately…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Peng Zhao , Yabo Niu

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of flexibility of our approach is a nonparametric observation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-08 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Haroon Mumtaz , Michael Pfarrhofer

Factor and sparse models are two widely used methods to impose a low-dimensional structure in high-dimensions. However, they are seemingly mutually exclusive. We propose a lifting method that combines the merits of these two models in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-07 Jianqing Fan , Ricardo Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros

Fair and unbiased machine learning is an important and active field of research, as decision processes are increasingly driven by models that learn from data. Unfortunately, any biases present in the data may be learned by the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-27 Matthew J. Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Visual Autoregressive (VAR) models enable efficient image generation via next-scale prediction but face escalating computational costs as sequence length grows. Existing static pruning methods degrade performance by permanently removing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Kaixin Zhang , Ruiqing Yang , Yuan Zhang , Shan You , Tao Huang

In recent years, the dynamic factor model has emerged as a dominant tool in economics and finance, particularly for investment strategies. This model offers improved handling of complex, nonlinear, and noisy market conditions compared to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-06 Yilun Wang , Shengjie Guo

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

We propose Significance-Offset Convolutional Neural Network, a deep convolutional network architecture for regression of multivariate asynchronous time series. The model is inspired by standard autoregressive (AR) models and gating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Mikołaj Bińkowski , Gautier Marti , Philippe Donnat

We describe a method to construct directed networks from multivariate time series which has several advantages over the widely accepted methods. This method is based on an information theoretic reduction of linear (auto-regressive) models.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-13 Toshihiro Tanizawa , Tomomichi Nakamura , Fumihiko Taya , Michael Small

A novel unsupervised learning method is proposed in this paper for biclustering large-dimensional matrix-valued time series based on an entirely new latent two-way factor structure. Each block cluster is characterized by its own row and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been used to describe the dependence within and across multiple time series. This is a model for stationary time series which can be extended to allow the presence of a deterministic trend in each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Xixi Li , Jingsong Yuan

Network structure is growing popular for capturing the intrinsic relationship between large-scale variables. In the paper we propose to improve the estimation accuracy for large-dimensional factor model when a network structure between…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Long Yu , Yong He , Xinsheng Zhang , Ji Zhu

This paper studies linear reconstruction of partially observed functional data which are recorded on a discrete grid. We propose a novel estimation approach based on approximate factor models with increasing rank taking into account…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Maximilian Ofner , Siegfried Hörmann

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

The Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model is fundamental to the study of multivariate time series. Although VAR models are intensively investigated by many researchers, practitioners often show more interest in analyzing VARX models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-13 Ines Wilms , Sumanta Basu , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

We consider a multivariate time series model which represents a high dimensional vector process as a sum of three terms: a linear regression of some observed regressors, a linear combination of some latent and serially correlated factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 Jinyuan Chang , Bin Guo , Qiwei Yao
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