Related papers: Bayesian Smoothed Quantile Regression
Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying…
This paper introduces \emph{biased mean regression}, estimating the \emph{biased mean}, i.e., $\mathbb{E}[Y] + x$, where $x \in \mathbb{R}$. The approach addresses a fundamental statistical problem that covers numerous applications. For…
The celebrated Bernstein von-Mises theorem ensures that credible regions from Bayesian posterior are well-calibrated when the model is correctly-specified, in the frequentist sense that their coverage probabilities tend to the nominal…
Standard conformal prediction methods guarantee marginal coverage but often produce inefficient intervals that fail to adapt to local heteroscedasticity, while recent localized approaches often struggle to maintain validity across distinct…
A sandwich likelihood correction is proposed to remedy an inferential limitation of the Bayesian quantile regression approach based on the misspecified asymmetric Laplace density, by leveraging the benefits of the approach. Supporting…
Quantile regression, a robust method for estimating conditional quantiles, has advanced significantly in fields such as econometrics, statistics, and machine learning. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of covariates exceeds…
Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…
In Bayesian quantile regression, the most commonly used likelihood is the asymmetric Laplace (AL) likelihood. The reason for this choice is not that it is a plausible data-generating model but that the corresponding maximum likelihood…
Forecast combination methods have traditionally emphasized symmetric loss functions, particularly squared error loss, with equally weighted combinations often justified as a robust approach under such criteria. However, these justifications…
We provide a general solution to a fundamental open problem in Bayesian inference, namely poor uncertainty quantification, from a frequency standpoint, of Bayesian methods in misspecified models. While existing solutions are based on…
Memoryless scalar quantization (MSQ) is a common technique to quantize frame coefficients of signals (which are used as a model for generalized linear samples), making them compatible with our digital technology. The process of quantization…
This work introduces Bayesian quantile regression modeling framework for the analysis of longitudinal count data. In this model, the response variable is not continuous and hence an artificial smoothing of counts is incorporated. The…
Quantile Regression (QR) can be used to estimate aleatoric uncertainty in deep neural networks and can generate prediction intervals. Quantifying uncertainty is particularly important in critical applications such as clinical diagnosis,…
The paper introduces an estimation method for flexible Bayesian quantile regression in ordinal (FBQROR) models i.e., an ordinal quantile regression where the error follows a generalized asymmetric Laplace (GAL) distribution. The GAL…
The composite quantile regression (CQR) was introduced by Zou and Yuan [Ann. Statist. 36 (2008) 1108--1126] as a robust regression method for linear models with heavy-tailed errors while achieving high efficiency. Its penalized counterpart…
Crossing of fitted conditional quantiles is a prevalent problem for quantile regression models. We propose a new Bayesian modelling framework that penalises multiple quantile regression functions toward the desired non-crossing space. We…
Quantile regression provides a consistent approach to investigating the association between covariates and various aspects of the distribution of the response beyond the mean. When the regression covariates are measured with errors,…
We develop a Bayesian median autoregressive (BayesMAR) model for time series forecasting. The proposed method utilizes time-varying quantile regression at the median, favorably inheriting the robustness of median regression in contrast to…
While quantum annealing (QA) has been developed for combinatorial optimization, practical QA devices operate at finite temperature and under noise, and their outputs can be regarded as stochastic samples close to a Gibbs--Boltzmann…
This paper presents a novel probabilistic forecasting method called ensemble conformalized quantile regression (EnCQR). EnCQR constructs distribution-free and approximately marginally valid prediction intervals (PIs), which are suitable for…