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Bitcoin as a cryptocurrency has been one of the most important digital coins and the first decentralized digital currency. Deep neural networks, on the other hand, has shown promising results recently; however, we require huge amount of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Parth Daxesh Modi , Kamyar Arshi , Pertami J. Kunz , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Prediction of stock prices has been a crucial and challenging task, especially in the case of highly volatile digital currencies such as Bitcoin. This research examineS the potential of using neural network models, namely LSTMs and GRUs, to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-15 Ali Mohammadjafari

Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Amit Kumar , Taoran Ji

We introduce novel approaches to cryptocurrency price forecasting, leveraging Machine Learning (ML) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques, with a focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum. By analysing news and social media content,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Vincent Gurgul , Stefan Lessmann , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile compared to traditional financial markets. Hence, forecasting its volatility is crucial for risk management. In this paper, we investigate CryptoQuant data (e.g. on-chain analytics, exchange and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-13 Dorien Herremans , Kah Wee Low

Bitcoin is the first digital decentralized cryptocurrency that has shown a significant increase in market capitalization in recent years. The objective of this paper is to determine the predictable price direction of Bitcoin in USD by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-26 S M Raju , Ali Mohammad Tarif

Cryptocurrency markets are characterized by extreme volatility, making accurate forecasts essential for effective risk management and informed trading strategies. Traditional deterministic (point) forecasting methods are inadequate for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-25 Grzegorz Dudek , Witold Orzeszko , Piotr Fiszeder

This research presents a comprehensive framework for analyzing liquidity in financial markets, particularly in the context of high-frequency trading. By leveraging advanced machine learning classification techniques, including Logistic…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Sid Bhatia , Sidharth Peri , Sam Friedman , Michelle Malen

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the efficient market hypothesis believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta

This paper studies how to forecast daily closing price series of Bitcoin, using data on prices and volumes of prior days. Bitcoin price behaviour is still largely unexplored, presenting new opportunities. We compared our results with two…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Nicola Uras , Lodovica Marchesi , Michele Marchesi , Roberto Tonelli

Accurate exchange rate prediction is fundamental to financial stability and international trade, positioning it as a critical focus in economic and financial research. Traditional forecasting models often falter when addressing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Shuchen Meng , Andi Chen , Chihang Wang , Mengyao Zheng , Fangyu Wu , Xupeng Chen , Haowei Ni , Panfeng Li

This study focuses on forecasting intraday trading volumes, a crucial component for portfolio implementation, especially in high-frequency (HF) trading environments. Given the current scarcity of flexible methods in this area, we employ a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-14 Mihai Cucuringu , Kang Li , Chao Zhang

Cryptocurrencies have transformed financial markets with their innovative blockchain technology and volatile price movements, presenting both challenges and opportunities for predictive analytics. Ethereum, being one of the leading…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Eftychia Makri , Georgios Palaiokrassas , Sarah Bouraga , Antigoni Polychroniadou , Leandros Tassiulas

Social media signals have been successfully used to develop large-scale predictive and anticipatory analytics. For example, forecasting stock market prices and influenza outbreaks. Recently, social data has been explored to forecast price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-02 Maria Glenski , Tim Weninger , Svitlana Volkova

This paper offers a thorough examination of the univariate predictability in cryptocurrency time-series. By exploiting a combination of complexity measure and model predictions we explore the cryptocurrencies time-series forecasting task…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Francesco Puoti , Fabrizio Pittorino , Manuel Roveri

The uncertainties in future Bitcoin price make it difficult to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin. Accurately predicting the price for Bitcoin is therefore important for decision-making process of investors and market players in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-04 Samuel Asante Gyamerah

In this work we show that prediction uncertainty estimates gleaned from deep learning models can be useful inputs for influencing the relative allocation of risk capital across trades. In this way, consideration of uncertainty is important…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-03 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Bitcoin, one of the major cryptocurrencies, presents great opportunities and challenges with its tremendous potential returns accompanying high risks. The high volatility of Bitcoin and the complex factors affecting them make the study of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-04 Qiutong Guo , Shun Lei , Qing Ye , Zhiyang Fang

In this paper, we investigate the problem of predicting the future volatility of Forex currency pairs using the deep learning techniques. We show step-by-step how to construct the deep-learning network by the guidance of the empirical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Shujian Liao , Jian Chen , Hao Ni

This study evaluates the performance of 41 machine learning models, including 21 classifiers and 20 regressors, in predicting Bitcoin prices for algorithmic trading. By examining these models under various market conditions, we highlight…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-29 Abdul Jabbar , Syed Qaisar Jalil