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Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

Data-enabled predictive control (DeePC) has recently attracted attention as a promising approach for controlling systems directly from raw data, without requiring an explicit identification step. However, DeePC has not yet been extended to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-25 Gianluca Giacomelli , Victor G. Lopez , Simone Formentin , Matthias A. Müller , Valentina Breschi

Data collection in economically constrained countries often necessitates using approximate and biased measurements due to the low-cost of the sensors used. This leads to potentially invalid predictions and poor policies or decision making.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Michael T. Smith , Joel Ssematimba , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Engineer Bainomugisha

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Large pretrained foundation models demonstrate exceptional performance and, in some high-stakes applications, even surpass human experts. However, most of these models are currently evaluated primarily on prediction accuracy, overlooking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Tang Li , Mengmeng Ma , Xi Peng

A dangerous assumption that can be made from prior work on the bias transfer hypothesis (BTH) is that biases do not transfer from pre-trained large language models (LLMs) to adapted models. We invalidate this assumption by studying the BTH…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nivedha Sivakumar , Natalie Mackraz , Samira Khorshidi , Krishna Patel , Barry-John Theobald , Luca Zappella , Nicholas Apostoloff

Determining the poverty levels of various regions throughout the world is crucial in identifying interventions for poverty reduction initiatives and directing resources fairly. However, reliable data on global economic livelihoods is hard…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Varun Chitturi , Zaid Nabulsi

Machine learning methods are being increasingly applied in sensitive societal contexts, where decisions impact human lives. Hence it has become necessary to build capabilities for providing easily-interpretable explanations of models'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Alfredo Carrillo , Luis F. Cantú , Luis Tejerina , Alejandro Noriega

There are many settings where researchers are interested in estimating average treatment effects and are willing to rely on the unconfoundedness assumption, which requires that the treatment assignment be as good as random conditional on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-02 Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Stefan Wager

With the introduction of (large) language models, there has been significant concern about the unintended bias such models may inherit from their training data. A number of studies have shown that such models propagate gender stereotypes,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Rameez Qureshi , Naïm Es-Sebbani , Luis Galárraga , Yvette Graham , Miguel Couceiro , Zied Bouraoui

Predicting which action (treatment) will lead to a better outcome is a central task in decision support systems. To build a prediction model in real situations, learning from biased observational data is a critical issue due to the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Akira Tanimoto , Tomoya Sakai , Takashi Takenouchi , Hisashi Kashima

Spurious correlations in training data significantly hinder the generalization capability of machine learning models when faced with distribution shifts, leading to the proposition of numberous debiasing methods. However, it remains to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Peng Kuang , Zhibo Wang , Zhixuan Chu , Jingyi Wang , Kui Ren

Recent advances in deep learning (DL) have prompted the development of high-performing early warning score (EWS) systems, predicting clinical deteriorations such as acute kidney injury, acute myocardial infarction, or circulatory failure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Yuxiao Cheng , Xinxin Song , Ziqian Wang , Qin Zhong , Kunlun He , Jinli Suo

In this paper, we explore advanced modifications to the Tweedie regression model in order to address its limitations in modeling aggregate claims for various types of insurance such as automobile, health, and liability. Traditional Tweedie…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Banghee So , Emiliano A. Valdez

Prediction models can improve efficiency by automating decisions such as the approval of loan applications. However, they may inherit bias against protected groups from the data they are trained on. This paper adds counterfactual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Nicholas Tenev

Modern deep neural networks are powerful predictive tools yet often lack valid inference for causal parameters, such as treatment effects or entire survival curves. While frameworks like Double Machine Learning (DML) and Targeted Maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Yi Li , David Mccoy , Nolan Gunter , Kaitlyn Lee , Alejandro Schuler , Mark van der Laan

While deep learning models are making fast progress on the task of Natural Language Inference, recent studies have also shown that these models achieve high accuracy by exploiting several dataset biases, and without deep understanding of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Xiang Zhou , Mohit Bansal

Natural language processing models often exploit spurious correlations between task-independent features and labels in datasets to perform well only within the distributions they are trained on, while not generalising to different task…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Yuxiang Wu , Matt Gardner , Pontus Stenetorp , Pradeep Dasigi

This study investigates the estimation and the statistical inference about Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATEs), which have garnered attention as a metric representing individualized causal effects. In our data-generating process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-07 Masahiro Kato

Pairwise debiasing is one of the most effective strategies in reducing position bias in learning-to-rank (LTR) models. However, limiting the scope of this strategy, are the underlying assumptions required by many pairwise debiasing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Alexey Kurennoy , John Coleman , Ian Harris , Alice Lynch , Oisin Mac Fhearai , Daphne Tsatsoulis
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