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We investigate the random variable defined by the volume of the zero set of a smooth Gaussian field, on a general Riemannian manifold possibly with boundary, a fundamental object in probability and geometry. We prove a new explicit formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Michele Stecconi , Anna Paola Todino

Real-world distributed systems and networks are often unreliable and subject to random failures of its components. Such a stochastic behavior affects adversely the complexity of optimization tasks performed routinely upon such systems, in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Milos Hauskrecht , Tomas Singliar

In this paper, we explore how our recently developed Wiener Chaos Expansion (WCE)-based neural operator (NO) can be applied to singular stochastic partial differential equations, e.g., the dynamic $\boldsymbol{\Phi}^4_2$ model simulated in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Dai Shi , Luke Thompson , Andi Han , Peiyan Hu , Junbin Gao , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Hermite processes are paradigmatic examples of stochastic processes which can belong to any Wiener chaos of an arbitrary order; the wellknown fractional Brownian motion belonging to the Gaussian first order Wiener chaos and the Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier , laurent Loosveldt

In this paper, we simulate diffusion bridges by using an approximation of the Wiener-chaos expansion (WCE), or a Fourier-Hermite expansion, for a related diffusion process. Indeed, we consider the solution of stochastic differential…

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

This paper discusses a method enabling optimal control of nonlinear systems that are subject to parametric uncertainty. A stochastic optimal tracking problem is formulated that can be expressed in function of the first two stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Tom Lefebvre , Frederik De Belie , Guillaume Crevecoeur

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Uncertainty quantification seeks to provide a quantitative means to understand complex systems that are impacted by parametric uncertainty. The polynomial chaos method is a computational approach to solve stochastic partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Melvin Leok , Gautam Wilkins

A novel algorithm for computing the action of a matrix exponential over a vector is proposed. The algorithm is based on a multilevel Monte Carlo method, and the vector solution is computed probabilistically generating suitable random paths…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Juan A. Acebron , Jose R. Herrero , Jose Monteiro

In this paper, we investigate the properties of standard and multilevel Monte Carlo methods for weak approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by the infinite-dimensional Wiener process and Poisson random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Michał Sobieraj

Over the last few years there have been dramatic advances in our understanding of mathematical and computational models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty. This has led to a growth in the area of uncertainty quantification as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

The work presented here investigates the application of polynomial chaos expansion toward input shaper design in order to maintain robustness in dynamical systems subject to uncertainty. Furthermore, this work intends to specifically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-05 Johannes Güttler , Karan Baker , Premjit Saha , James Warner , Adrian Stein

We consider generalizations of the classical inverse problem to Bayesien type estimators, where the result is not one optimal parameter but an optimal probability distribution in parameter space. The practical computational tool to compute…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Michael Herty , Christian Ringhofer

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Quantum algorithms offer the potential for significant computational advantages; however, in many cases, it remains unclear how these advantages can be practically realized. Causal Set Theory is a discrete, Lorentz-invariant approach to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-25 Stuart Ferguson , Arad Nasiri , Petros Wallden

This paper develops a theory of propagation of chaos for a system of weakly interacting particles whose terminal configuration is fixed as opposed to the initial configuration as customary. Such systems are modeled by backward stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Mathieu Laurière , Ludovic Tangpi