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This work brings together two powerful concepts in Gaussian processes: the variational approach to sparse approximation and the spectral representation of Gaussian processes. This gives rise to an approximation that inherits the benefits of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-09 James Hensman , Nicolas Durrande , Arno Solin

We propose a Gaussian mixture model for background subtraction in infrared imagery. Following a Bayesian approach, our method automatically estimates the number of Gaussian components as well as their parameters, while simultaneously it…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Konstantinos Makantasis , Anastasios Doulamis , Nikolaos Doulamis

In this paper, the Milstein method is used to approximate invariant measures of stochastic differential equations with commutative noise. The decay rate of the transition probability kernel generated by the Milstein method to the unique…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Lihui Weng , Wei Liu

We consider the problem of detecting and quantifying the periodic component of a function given noise-corrupted observations of a limited number of input/output tuples. Our approach is based on Gaussian process regression which provides a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Nicolas Durrande , James Hensman , Magnus Rattray , Neil D. Lawrence

We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

In this paper we refine the procedure proposed by Lin et al. (2015) to estimate the density at a given quantile based on a resampling method. The approach consists on generating multiple samples of the zero-mean Gaussian variable from which…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-04 Beatriz Farah , Aurélien Latouche , Olivier Bouaziz

In his seminal 1923 work, Neyman studied the variance estimation problem for the difference-in-means estimator of the average treatment effect in completely randomized experiments. He proposed a variance estimator that is conservative in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Guido W. Imbens

For many survey-based spatial modelling problems, responses are observed as spatially aggregated over survey regions due to limited resources. Covariates, from weather models and satellite imageries, can be observed at many different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Harrison Zhu , Adam Howes , Owen van Eer , Maxime Rischard , Yingzhen Li , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

A typical problem in the detection of the gravitational waves in the data of gravitational antennas is the non-stationarity of the Gaussian noise (and so the varying sensitivity) and the presence of big impulsive disturbances. In such…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-05-18 Sergio Frasca , Pia Astone

High-dimensional classification and feature selection tasks are ubiquitous with the recent advancement in data acquisition technology. In several application areas such as biology, genomics and proteomics, the data are often functional in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-30 W Yu , S Wade , H D Bondell , L Azizi

We study a well-known estimator of the fractal index of a stochastic process. Our framework is very general and encompasses many models of interest; we show how to extend the theory of the estimator to a large class of non-Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Mikkel Bennedsen

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

The aim of this paper is to establish the uniform convergence of the densities of a sequence of random variables, which are functionals of an underlying Gaussian process, to a normal density. Precise estimates for the uniform distance are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-30 Yaozhong Hu , Fei Lu , David Nualart

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

Automated sensing instruments on satellites and aircraft have enabled the collection of massive amounts of high-resolution observations of spatial fields over large spatial regions. If these datasets can be efficiently exploited, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-08 Matthias Katzfuss

Covariance estimation and selection for multivariate datasets in a high-dimensional regime is a fundamental problem in modern statistics. Gaussian graphical models are a popular class of models used for this purpose. Current Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Xuan Cao , Shaojun Zhang

This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard