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As a rigorous statistical approach, statistical Taylor expansion extends the conventional Taylor expansion by replacing precise input variables with random variables of known distributions and sample counts to compute the mean, the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chengpu Wang

Interpreting uncertain data can be difficult, particularly if the data presentation is complex. We investigate the efficacy of different modalities for representing data and how to combine the strengths of each modality to facilitate the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Chase Stokes , Chelsea Sanker , Bridget Cogley , Vidya Setlur

Visual relocalization is the task of estimating the camera pose given an image it views. Absolute pose regression offers a solution to this task by training a neural network, directly regressing the camera pose from image features. While an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Fereidoon Zangeneh , Amit Dekel , Alessandro Pieropan , Patric Jensfelt

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

Online sampling-supported visual analytics is increasingly important, as it allows users to explore large datasets with acceptable approximate answers at interactive rates. However, existing online spatiotemporal sampling techniques are…

Trusting the predictions of deep learning models in safety critical settings such as the medical domain is still not a viable option. Distentangled uncertainty quantification in the field of medical imaging has received little attention. In…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-14 Kumud Lakara , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Virtual Diagnostic (VD) is a deep learning tool that can be used to predict a diagnostic output. VDs are especially useful in systems where measuring the output is invasive, limited, costly or runs the risk of damaging the output. Given a…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2021-08-02 Owen Convery , Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal , Adi Hanuka

Time series is a collection of data instances that are ordered according to a time stamp. Stock prices, temperature, etc are examples of time series data in real life. Time series data are used for forecasting sales, predicting trends.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Sathya Krishnan Suresh , Shunmugapriya P

The basic objective of data visualization is to provide an efficient graphical display for summarizing and reasoning about quantitative information. During the last decades, political science has accumulated a large corpus of various kinds…

Graphics · Computer Science 2010-08-09 Andrei Zinovyev

We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Janis Postels , Francesco Ferroni , Huseyin Coskun , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

Recently, multiple formulations of vision problems as probabilistic inversions of generative models based on computer graphics have been proposed. However, applications to 3D perception from natural images have focused on low-dimensional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-07-08 Tejas D. Kulkarni , Vikash K. Mansinghka , Pushmeet Kohli , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

Predictive variability due to data ambiguities has typically been addressed via construction of dedicated models with built-in probabilistic capabilities that are trained to predict uncertainty estimates as variables of interest. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Katarína Tóthová , Ľubor Ladický , Daniel Thul , Marc Pollefeys , Ender Konukoglu

The paper introduces a novel approach to global sensitivity analysis, grounded in the variance-covariance structure of random variables derived from random measures. The proposed methodology facilitates the application of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz , Grzegorz A Rempala

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown remarkable performance in the healthcare domain. However, what remained challenging is quantifying the predictive uncertainty of GNNs, which is an important aspect of trustworthiness in clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Hirad Daneshvar , Reza Samavi

In imaging inverse problems, one seeks to recover an image from missing/corrupted measurements. Because such problems are ill-posed, there is great motivation to quantify the uncertainty induced by the measurement-and-recovery process.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Jeffrey Wen , Rizwan Ahmad , Philip Schniter

Supervised learning results typically rely on assumptions of i.i.d. data. Unfortunately, those assumptions are commonly violated in practice. In this work, we tackle such problem by focusing on domain generalization: a formalization where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Isabela Albuquerque , João Monteiro , Mohammad Darvishi , Tiago H. Falk , Ioannis Mitliagkas

Traditional machine learning relies on explicit models and domain assumptions, limiting flexibility and interpretability. We introduce a model-free framework using surprisal (information theoretic uncertainty) to directly analyze and…

Reconstructing two-hand interactions from a single image is a challenging problem due to ambiguities that stem from projective geometry and heavy occlusions. Existing methods are designed to estimate only a single pose, despite the fact…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Jiayi Wang , Diogo Luvizon , Franziska Mueller , Florian Bernard , Adam Kortylewski , Dan Casas , Christian Theobalt

Probabilistic models inform an increasingly broad range of business and policy decisions ultimately made by people. Recent algorithmic, computational, and software framework development progress facilitate the proliferation of Bayesian…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Sebastian Stein , John H. Williamson