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Generating wind power scenarios is very important for studying the impacts of multiple wind farms that are interconnected to the grid. We develop a graph convolutional generative adversarial network (GCGAN) approach by leveraging GAN's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Young-ho Cho , Shaohui Liu , Duehee Lee , Hao Zhu

This work proposes a method of wind farm scenario generation to support real-time optimization tools and presents key findings therein. This work draws upon work from the literature and presents an efficient and scalable method for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 Trevor Werho , Junshan Zhang , Vijay Vittal , Yonghong Chen , Anupam Thatte , Long Zhao

We propose a new estimator for the Generalised Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM) that simplifies estimation by avoiding frequency-domain methods. Our key theoretical insight shows that under reasonable conditions the dynamic common component can…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Philipp Gersing

We present a method to generate renewable scenarios using Bayesian probabilities by implementing the Bayesian generative adversarial network~(Bayesian GAN), which is a variant of generative adversarial networks based on two interconnected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Pan Li , Baosen Zhang

Motivated by the need for analysing large spatio-temporal panel data, we introduce a novel dimensionality reduction methodology for $n$-dimensional random fields observed across a number $S$ spatial locations and $T$ time periods. We call…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Matteo Barigozzi , Davide La Vecchia , Hang Liu

For the integration of renewable energy sources, power grid operators need realistic information about the effects of energy production and consumption to assess grid stability. Recently, research in scenario planning benefits from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Jens Schreiber , Maik Jessulat , Bernhard Sick

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Konstantin Klemmer , Sudipan Saha , Matthias Kahl , Tianlin Xu , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Forecasting attracts a lot of research attention in the electricity value chain. However, most studies concentrate on short-term forecasting of generation or consumption with a focus on systems and less on individual consumers. Even more…

Aggregated stochastic characteristics of geographically distributed wind generation will provide valuable information for secured and economical system operation in electricity markets. This paper focuses on the uncertainty set prediction…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Xiaopeng Li , Jiang Wu , Zhanbo Xu , Kun Liu , Jun Yu , Xiaohong Guan

General Circulation Models (GCMs) are widely used for future climate projections, but their coarse spatial resolution and systematic biases limit their direct use for impact studies. This limitation is particularly critical for wind-related…

Scenario generation is an important step in the operation and planning of power systems with high renewable penetrations. In this work, we proposed a data-driven approach for scenario generation using generative adversarial networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Yishen Wang , Daniel Kirschen , Baosen Zhang

Windstorms significantly impact the UK, causing extensive damage to property, disrupting society, and potentially resulting in loss of life. Accurate modelling and understanding of such events are essential for effective risk assessment and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-18 Etron Yee Chun Tsoi

Wind has the potential to make a significant contribution to future energy resources. Locating the sources of this renewable energy on a global scale is however extremely challenging, given the difficulty to store very large data sets…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Jaehong Jeong , Stefano Castruccio , Paola Crippa , Marc G. Genton

We design a Gaussian Process (GP) spatiotemporal model to capture features of day-ahead wind power forecasts. We work with hourly-scale day-ahead forecasts across hundreds of wind farm locations, with the main aim of constructing a fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Qiqi Li , Mike Ludkovski

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

This study evaluates the potential of generative models, trained on historical ERA5 reanalysis data, for simulating windstorms over the UK. Four generative models, including a standard GAN, a WGAN-GP, a U-net diffusion model, and a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 Yee Chun Tsoi , Kieran M. R. Hunt , Len Shaffrey , Atta Badii , Richard Dixon , Ludovico Nicotina

The Cloud paradigm is at a critical point in which the existing energy-efficiency techniques are reaching a plateau, while the computing resources demand at Data Center facilities continues to increase exponentially. The main challenge in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Jaime Pérez , Patricia Arroba , José M. Moya

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Learning to plan for multi-step, multi-manipulator tasks is notoriously difficult because of the large search space and the complex constraint satisfaction problems. We present Generative Factor Chaining~(GFC), a composable generative model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Utkarsh A. Mishra , Yongxin Chen , Danfei Xu
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