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This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Machine learning often needs to model density from a multidimensional data sample, including correlations between coordinates. Additionally, we often have missing data case: that data points can miss values for some of coordinates. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Jarek Duda

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

Data in the form of ranking lists are frequently encountered, and combining ranking results from different sources can potentially generate a better ranking list and help understand behaviors of the rankers. Of interest here are the rank…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-20 Xinran Li , Dingdong Yi , Jun S. Liu

We study the problem of conditional predictive inference on multiple outcomes missing at random (MAR) -- or equivalently, under covariate shift. While the weighted conformal prediction offers a tool for inference under covariate shift with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Yonghoon Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

A Bayesian multivariate model with a structured covariance matrix for multi-way nested data is proposed. This flexible modeling framework allows for positive and for negative associations among clustered observations, and generalizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Jean-Paul Fox

Bi-clustering is a useful approach in analyzing biological data when observations come from heterogeneous groups and have a large number of features. We outline a general Bayesian approach in tackling bi-clustering problems in moderate to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-11 Han Yan , Jiexing Wu , Yang Li , Jun S. Liu

Bayesian networks provide a method of representing conditional independence between random variables and computing the probability distributions associated with these random variables. In this paper, we extend Bayesian network structures to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Eric Driver , Darryl Morrell

Standard meta-learning for representation learning aims to find a common representation to be shared across multiple tasks. The effectiveness of these methods is often limited when the nuances of the tasks' distribution cannot be captured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Giulia Denevi , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto

In many complex applications, data heterogeneity and homogeneity exist simultaneously. Ignoring either one will result in incorrect statistical inference. In addition, coping with complex data that are non-Euclidean becomes more common. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Zixuan Han , Tao Li , Jinhong You

In this paper, we propose a new method to compute the barycenter of large weighted graphs endowed with probability measures on their nodes. We suppose that the edge weights are distances between the nodes and that the probability measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-30 Ioana Gavra , Laurent Risser

A new pairwise cost function is proposed for the optimal transport barycenter problem, adopting the form of the minimal action between two points, with a Lagrangian that takes into account an underlying probability distribution. Under this…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-11 Zichu Wang , Esteban G. Tabak

Computational implementation of optimal transport barycenters for a set of target probability measures requires a form of approximation, a widespread solution being empirical approximation of measures. We provide an $O(\sqrt{N/n})$…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Léo Portales , Edouard Pauwels , Elsa Cazelles

This paper builds Wasserstein ambiguity sets for the unknown probability distribution of dynamic random variables leveraging noisy partial-state observations. The constructed ambiguity sets contain the true distribution of the data with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Dimitris Boskos , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez

An important task for any large-scale organization is to prepare forecasts of key performance metrics. Often these organizations are structured in a hierarchical manner and for operational reasons, projections of these metrics may have been…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-15 Julie Novak , Scott McGarvie , Beatriz Etchegaray Garcia

The problem of modeling the relationship between univariate distributions and one or more explanatory variables has found increasing interest. Traditional functional data methods cannot be applied directly to distributional data because of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

A probabilistic model for random hypergraphs is introduced to represent unary, binary and higher order interactions among objects in real-world problems. This model is an extension of the Latent Class Analysis model, which captures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-16 Tin Lok James Ng , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We propose a MAP Bayesian approach to perform and evaluate a co-clustering of mixed-type data tables. The proposed model infers an optimal segmentation of all variables then performs a co-clustering by minimizing a Bayesian model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Aichetou Bouchareb , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Rossi , Fabrice Clérot

The weighted sum method is a simple and widely used technique that scalarizes multiple conflicting objectives into a single objective function. It suffers from the problem of determining the appropriate weights corresponding to the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Romit S Beed , Sunita Sarkar , Arindam Roy , Durba Bhattacharya

Clustered data is ubiquitous in a variety of scientific fields. In this paper, we propose a flexible and interpretable modeling approach, called grouped heterogenous mixture modeling, for clustered data, which models cluster-wise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Shonosuke Sugasawa