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Validating and controlling safety-critical systems in uncertain environments necessitates probabilistic reachable sets of future state evolutions. The existing methods of computing probabilistic reachable sets normally assume that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-03 Xun Shen , Ye Wang , Kazumune Hashimoto , Yuhu Wu , Sebastien Gros

A novel methodology is developed for the solution of the data-driven Monge optimal transport barycenter problem, where the pushforward condition is formulated in terms of the statistical independence between two sets of random variables:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Andrew D. Lipnick , Esteban G. Tabak , Giulio Trigila , Yating Wang , Xuancheng Ye , Wenjun Zhao

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for both covariate selection and sparse precision matrix estimation in the context of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models involving multiple responses. Our approach provides a sparse estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Anwesha Chakravarti , Naveen N. Narishetty , Feng Liang

We present a framework for building unsupervised representations of entities and their compositions, where each entity is viewed as a probability distribution rather than a vector embedding. In particular, this distribution is supported…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Sidak Pal Singh , Andreas Hug , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Martin Jaggi

Gaussian graphical models typically assume a homogeneous structure across all subjects, which is often restrictive in applications. In this article, we propose a weighted pseudo-likelihood approach for graphical modeling which allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Sutanoy Dasgupta , Peng Zhao , Jacob Helwig , Prasenjit Ghosh , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

This paper is concerned by the study of barycenters for random probability measures in the Wasserstein space. Using a duality argument, we give a precise characterization of the population barycenter for various parametric classes of random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Jérémie Bigot , Thierry Klein

Heterogeneous data from multiple populations, sub-groups, or sources is often represented as a ``mixture model'' with a single latent class influencing all of the observed covariates. Heterogeneity can be resolved at multiple levels by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Bijan Mazaheri , Chandler Squires , Caroline Uhler

The optimal transportation problem defines a geometry of probability measures which leads to a definition for weighted averages (barycenters) of measures, finding application in the machine learning and computer vision communities as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 David Gentile , James M. Murphy

This paper introduces a new type of probabilistic semiparametric model that takes advantage of data binning to reduce the computational cost of kernel density estimation in nonparametric distributions. Two new conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rafael Sojo , Javier Díaz-Rozo , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

We propose a novel approach to the problem of multilevel clustering, which aims to simultaneously partition data in each group and discover grouping patterns among groups in a potentially large hierarchically structured corpus of data. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-14 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen , Mikhail Yurochkin , Hung Hai Bui , Viet Huynh , Dinh Phung

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

We present a structured additive regression approach to model conditional densities given scalar covariates, where only samples of the conditional distributions are observed. This links our approach to distributional regression models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Eva-Maria Maier , Alexander Fottner , Sonja Greven , Almond Stöcker

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

The discrete distribution is often used to describe complex instances in machine learning, such as images, sequences, and documents. Traditionally, clustering of discrete distributions (D2C) has been approached using Wasserstein barycenter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Zixiao Wang , Dong Qiao , Jicong Fan

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-29 David Azriel

Probabilistic conditioning is concerned with the identification of a distribution of a random variable $X$ given a random variable $Y$. It is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications where modeling uncertainty is key. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Panos Tsimpos , Edoardo Calvello , Ayoub Belhadji , Nicholas H. Nelsen

A randomized version of the recently developed barycenter method for derivative-free optimization has desirable properties of a gradient search. We develop a complex version to avoid evaluations at high-gradient points. The method,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Felipe M Pait

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural framework to effectively integrate data and borrow information across groups. In this paper, we address problems related to density estimation and identifying clusters across related groups, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Huizi Zhang , Sara Wade , Natalia Bochkina