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The angular measure on the unit sphere characterizes the first-order dependence structure of the components of a random vector in extreme regions and is defined in terms of standardized margins. Its statistical recovery is an important step…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Stéphane Lhaut , Johan Segers

We study an unbiased, discrete time random walk on the nonnegative integers, with the origin absorbing. The process has a history-dependent step length: the walker takes steps of length v while in a region which has been visited before, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-08-27 Ronald Dickman , Francisco Fontenele Araujo, , Daniel ben-Avraham

In observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, the g-formula can be used to estimate a treatment effect in the presence of confounding factors. However, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding stochastic process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

We obtain bivariate asymptotics for the number of (unicellular) combinatorial maps (a model of discrete surfaces) as both the size and the genus grow. This work is related to two research topics that have been very active recently:…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Andrew Elvey Price , Wenjie Fang , Baptiste Louf , Michael Wallner

We consider the problem of asymptotic convergence to invariant sets in interconnected nonlinear dynamic systems. Standard approaches often require that the invariant sets be uniformly attracting. e.g. stable in the Lyapunov sense. This,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Erik Steur , Henk Nijmeijer , Cees van Leeuwen

New methods and theory have recently been developed to nonparametrically estimate cumulative incidence functions for competing risks survival data subject to current status censoring. In particular, the limiting distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-12 Marloes H. Maathuis , Michael G. Hudgens

Asymptotic theory for M-estimation problems usually focuses on the asymptotic convergence of the sample descriptor, defined as the minimizer of the sample loss function. Here, we explore a related question and formulate asymptotic theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Benjamin Eltzner

Given a sample of bids from independent auctions, this paper examines the question of inference on auction fundamentals (e.g. valuation distributions, welfare measures) under weak assumptions on information structure. The question is…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-20 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Elie Tamer , Juba Ziani

This paper considers a model with general regressors and unobservable factors. An estimator based on iterated principal components is proposed, which is shown to be not only asymptotically normal and oracle efficient, but under certain…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Joakim Westerlund , Yanrong Yang

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

In this paper, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of multivariate normal means under arbitrary covariance dependence. Specifically, let $\boldsymbol{X}\sim N_n(\boldsymbol{\theta},\boldsymbol{\Sigma})$, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

We investigate the possibility of distinguishing among different causal relations starting from a limited set of marginals. Our main tool is the notion of adhesivity, that is, the extension of probability or entropies defined only on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-28 Costantino Budroni , Nikolai Miklin , Rafael Chaves

In this paper we present a conditional principle of Gibbs type for independent nonidentically distributed random vectors. We obtain this result by performing Edgeworth expansions for densities of sums of independent random vectors.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Dimbihery Rabenoro

New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-22 Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff , Mihaela Yankova

This paper addresses the key challenge of estimating the asymptotic covariance associated with the Markov chain central limit theorem, which is essential for visualizing and terminating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations. We focus…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-29 James M. Flegal , Rebecca P. Kurtz-Garcia

This paper discusses the asymptotic behaviour of the number of descents in a random signed permutation and its inverse, which was posed as an open problem by Chatterjee and Diaconis in a recent publication. For that purpose, we generalize…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Frank Röttger

In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna