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We address the problem of monitoring a set of binary stochastic processes and generating an alert when the number of anomalies among them exceeds a threshold. For this, the decision-maker selects and probes a subset of the processes to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Geethu Joseph , M. Cenk Gursoy , Pramod K. Varshney

How can we model influence between individuals in a social system, even when the network of interactions is unknown? In this article, we review the literature on the "influence model," which utilizes independent time series to estimate how…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Wei Pan , Manuel Cebrian , Wen Dong , Taemie Kim , James Fowler , Alex Pentland

Human activity, which usually consists of several actions, generally covers interactions among persons and or objects. In particular, human actions involve certain spatial and temporal relationships, are the components of more complicated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Zhenyu Liu , Yaqiang Yao , Yan Liu , Yuening Zhu , Zhenchao Tao , Lei Wang , Yuhong Feng

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Process mining methods allow analysts to use logs of historical executions of business processes in order to gain knowledge about the actual behavior of these processes. One of the most widely studied process mining operations is automated…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Andrea Marrella , Fredrik Milani , Allar Soo , Silva Kasela

Team modeling remains a fundamental challenge at the intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Social Sciences. Although a variety of computational models have been proposed in the last two decades, most fail to integrate Social Sciences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Vincenzo Marco De Luca , Giovanna Varni , Andrea Passerini

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) comprises an area of growing interest in the field of machine learning. Despite notable advances, there are still problems that require investigation. The lazy agent pathology is a famous problem in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Rafael Pina , Varuna De Silva , Corentin Artaud

Social science research increasingly benefits from statistical methods for understanding the structured nature of social life, including for social network data. However, the application of statistical network models within large-scale…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-02-05 Alex D. Stivala , H. Colin Gallagher , David A. Rolls , Peng Wang , Garry L. Robins

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

Business processes may face a variety of problems due to the number of tasks that need to be handled within short time periods, resources' workload and working patterns, as well as bottlenecks. These problems may arise locally and be…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Bianka Bakullari , Jules van Thoor , Dirk Fahland , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

In this paper, we place the atomic action detection problem into a Long-Short Term Context (LSTC) to analyze how the temporal reliance among video signals affect the action detection results. To do this, we decompose the action recognition…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Yuxi Li , Boshen Zhang , Jian Li , Yabiao Wang , Weiyao Lin , Chengjie Wang , Jilin Li , Feiyue Huang

Process mining methods often analyze processes in terms of the individual end-to-end process runs. Process behavior, however, may materialize as a general state of many involved process components, which can not be captured by looking at…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Bianka Bakullari , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Planned experiments are the gold standard in reliably comparing the causal effect of switching from a baseline policy to a new policy. One critical shortcoming of classical experimental methods, however, is that they typically do not take…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-07 Panagiotis , Toulis , David C. Parkes

Time series generation (TSG) synthesizes realistic sequences and has achieved remarkable success. Among TSG, conditional models generate sequences given observed covariates, however, such models learn observational correlations without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yutong Xia , Chang Xu , Yuxuan Liang , Li Zhao , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Jiang Bian

This report outlines the use of a relational representation in a Multi-Agent domain to model the behaviour of the whole system. A desired property in this systems is the ability of the team members to work together to achieve a common goal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-11-01 Grazia Bombini , Raquel Ros , Stefano Ferilli , Ramon Lopez de Mantaras

Choices based on observational data depend on beliefs about which correlations reflect causality. An agent predicts the consequence of available actions using a dataset and her subjective beliefs about causality represented by a directed…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-21 Andrew Ellis , Heidi Christina Thysen

Deciding on an appropriate intervention requires a causal model of a treatment, the outcome, and potential mediators. Causal mediation analysis lets us distinguish between direct and indirect effects of the intervention, but has mostly been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Çağlar Hızlı , ST John , Anne Juuti , Tuure Saarinen , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

Recent advances in neurosciences and psychology have provided evidence that affective phenomena pervade intelligence at many levels, being inseparable from the cognitionaction loop. Perception, attention, memory, learning, decisionmaking,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-09-30 Luis Paulo Reis , Daria Barteneva , Nuno Lau
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