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The problem of nowcasting extreme weather events can be addressed by applying either numerical methods for the solution of dynamic model equations or data-driven artificial intelligence algorithms. Within this latter framework, the present…

Machine learning and deep learning have become increasingly prevalent in financial prediction and forecasting tasks, offering advantages such as enhanced customer experience, democratising financial services, improving consumer protection,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Branka Hadji Misheva , Joerg Osterrieder

We develop multiple Deep Learning (DL) models that advance the state-of-the-art predictions of the global auroral particle precipitation. We use observations from low Earth orbiting spacecraft of the electron energy flux to develop a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Jack Ziegler , Ryan M. Mcgranaghan

The potential for catastrophic collision makes near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) a serious concern. Planetary defense depends on accurately classifying potentially hazardous asteroids (PHAs), however the complexity of the data hampers…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-21 Amit Kumar Mondal , Nafisha Aslam , Prasenjit Maji , Hemanta Kumar Mondal

Droughts are a recurring hazard in sub-Saharan Africa, that can wreak huge socioeconomic costs.Acting early based on alerts provided by early warning systems (EWS) can potentially provide substantial mitigation, reducing the financial and…

Flooding is the most devastating phenomenon occurring globally, particularly in mountainous regions, risk dramatically increases due to complex terrains and extreme climate changes. These situations are damaging livelihoods, agriculture,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Haleema Bibi , Sadia Saleem , Zakia Jalil , Muhammad Nasir , Tahani Alsubait

Numerical weather prediction has long been constrained by the computational bottlenecks inherent in data assimilation and numerical modeling. While machine learning has accelerated forecasting, existing models largely serve as "emulators of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xiaoze Xu , Xiuyu Sun , Songling Zhu , Xiaohui Zhong , Yuanqing Huang , Zijian Zhu , Jun Liu , Hao Li

Increasing the accuracy of crop yield estimates may allow improvements in the whole crop production chain, allowing farmers to better plan for harvest, and for insurers to better understand risks of production, to name a few advantages. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-23 Renato Luiz de Freitas Cunha , Bruno Silva

The increasing frequency of environmental hazards due to climate change underscores the urgent need for effective monitoring systems. Current approaches either rely on expensive labelled datasets, struggle with seasonal variations, or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Samuel Garske , Konrad Heidler , Bradley Evans , KC Wong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Artificial intelligence weather prediction (AIWP) models now often outperform traditional physics-based models on common metrics while requiring orders-of-magnitude less computing resources and time. Open-access AIWP models thus hold…

Water managers in the western United States (U.S.) rely on longterm forecasts of temperature and precipitation to prepare for droughts and other wet weather extremes. To improve the accuracy of these longterm forecasts, the U.S. Bureau of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-23 Jessica Hwang , Paulo Orenstein , Judah Cohen , Karl Pfeiffer , Lester Mackey

This paper introduces a novel framework that accelerates the discovery of actionable relationships in high-dimensional temporal data by integrating machine learning (ML), explainable AI (XAI), and natural language processing (NLP) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Jiztom Kavalakkatt Francis , Matthew J Darr

Correctly forecasting the timing and location of changes in winter precipitation type could help decision makers mitigate the worst impacts of winter storms. Multiple precipitation type algorithms have been developed from both physical and…

Disaster response agencies have been shifting from a paradigm of climate forecasting towards one of anticipatory action: assessing not just what the climate will be, but how it will impact specific populations, thereby enabling proactive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Benjamin Q. Huynh , Mathew V. Kiang

The unusually warm sea surface temperature events known as marine heatwaves (MHWs) have a profound impact on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant scientific and financial worth. However, existing methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-23 Ruiqi Shu , Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Fanghua Xu , Ruijian Gou , Xiaomeng Huang

A fundamental challenge in developing data-driven approaches to ecological systems for tasks such as state estimation and prediction is the paucity of the observational or measurement data. For example, modern machine-learning techniques…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-11 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

High-resolution precipitation forecasts are crucial for providing accurate weather prediction and supporting effective responses to extreme weather events. Traditional numerical models struggle with stochastic subgrid-scale processes, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Shuangshuang He , Hongli Liang , Yuanting Zhang , Xingyuan Yuan

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Oussama Boussif , Ghait Boukachab , Dan Assouline , Stefano Massaroli , Tianle Yuan , Loubna Benabbou , Yoshua Bengio

The emerge of new technologies to synthesize and analyze big data with high-performance computing, has increased our capacity to more accurately predict crop yields. Recent research has shown that Machine learning (ML) can provide…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-09 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Sotirios V. Archontoulis

Tropical cyclones present a serious threat to many coastal communities around the world. Many numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic forecasts with limited measures of their forecast uncertainty. Standard postprocessing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-01 Stephen A. Walsh , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Dave Higdon , Stephanie Zick