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Stock price prediction is challenging due to global economic instability, high volatility, and the complexity of financial markets. Hence, this study compared several machine learning algorithms for stock market prediction and further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Akhila Mamillapalli , Bayode Ogunleye , Sonia Timoteo Inacio , Olamilekan Shobayo

We used a dataset of daily Bloomberg Financial Market Summaries from 2010 to 2023, reposted on large financial media, to determine how global news headlines may affect stock market movements using ChatGPT and a two-stage prompt approach. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-12 Baptiste Lefort , Eric Benhamou , Jean-Jacques Ohana , David Saltiel , Beatrice Guez , Damien Challet

This research investigates the growing trend of retail investors participating in certain stocks by organizing themselves on social media platforms, particularly Reddit. Previous studies have highlighted a notable association between Reddit…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Tim Matthies , Thomas Löhden , Stephan Leible , Jun-Patrick Raabe

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

This study investigates the relationship between tweet sentiment across diverse categories: news, company opinions, CEO opinions, competitor opinions, and stock market behavior in the biotechnology sector, with a focus on understanding the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-07 C. Sarai R. Avila

Financial market prediction on the basis of online sentiment tracking has drawn a lot of attention recently. However, most results in this emerging domain rely on a unique, particular combination of data sets and sentiment tracking tools.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-19 Huina Mao , Scott Counts , Johan Bollen

I explore the relationship between investor emotions expressed on social media and asset prices. The field has seen a proliferation of models aimed at extracting firm-level sentiment from social media data, though the behavior of these…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-08 Domonkos F. Vamossy

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

We study dynamic visual representations as a proxy for investor sentiment about the stock market. Our sentiment index, GIFsentiment, is constructed from millions of posts in the Graphics Interchange Format (GIF) on a leading investment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Ming Gu , David Hirshleifer , Siew Hong Teoh , Shijia Wu

In January 2021, retail investors coordinated on Reddit to target short selling activity by hedge funds on GameStop shares, causing a surge in the share price and triggering significant losses for the funds involved. Such an effective…

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

Financial market forecasting is one of the most attractive practical applications of sentiment analysis. In this paper, we investigate the potential of using sentiment \emph{attitudes} (positive vs negative) and also sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Andrius Mudinas , Dell Zhang , Mark Levene

A trite yet fundamental question in economics is: What causes large asset price fluctuations? A tenfold rise in the price of GameStop equity, between the 22nd and 28th of January 2021, demonstrated that herding behaviour among retail…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-21 Valentina Semenova , Dragos Gorduza , William Wildi , Xiaowen Dong , Stefan Zohren

Recently, large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT have demonstrated remarkable performance across a variety of natural language processing tasks. However, their effectiveness in the financial domain, specifically in predicting stock…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Qianqian Xie , Weiguang Han , Yanzhao Lai , Min Peng , Jimin Huang

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang

As cryptocurrencies gain popularity, the digital asset marketplace becomes increasingly significant. Understanding social media signals offers valuable insights into investor sentiment and market dynamics. Prior research has predominantly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Chenghao Liu , Aniket Mahanti , Ranesh Naha , Guanghao Wang , Erwann Sbai

We report on the use of sentiment analysis on news and social media to analyze and predict the price of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the leading cryptocurrency and has the highest market capitalization among digital currencies. Predicting Bitcoin…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Pratikkumar Prajapati

This paper explores the use of emojis in financial sentiment analysis, focusing on the social media platform StockTwits. Emojis, increasingly prevalent in digital communication, have potential as compact indicators of investor sentiment,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Ahmed Mahrous , Roberto Di Pietro

We study whether ChatGPT and DeepSeek can extract information from the Wall Street Journal to predict the stock market and the macroeconomy. We find that ChatGPT has predictive power. DeepSeek underperforms ChatGPT, which is trained more…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-17 Jian Chen , Guohao Tang , Guofu Zhou , Wu Zhu