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A generic algorithm for the extraction of probabilistic (Bayesian) information about model parameters from data is presented. The algorithm propagates an ensemble of particles in the product space of model parameters and outputs. Each…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-18 Carlo Albert

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

Recent deep generative models are able to provide photo-realistic images as well as visual or textual content embeddings useful to address various tasks of computer vision and natural language processing. Their usefulness is nevertheless…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Antoine Plumerault , Hervé Le Borgne , Céline Hudelot

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

A main challenge in mechanical design is to efficiently explore the design space while satisfying engineering constraints. This work explores the use of 3D generative models to explore the design space in the context of vehicle development,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Hayata Morita , Kohei Shintani , Chenyang Yuan , Frank Permenter

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Comparing mathematical models offers a means to evaluate competing scientific theories. However, exact methods of model calibration are not applicable to many probabilistic models which simulate high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Robert A McDonald , Helen M Byrne , Heather A Harrington , Thomas Thorne , Bernadette J Stolz

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

The data-driven discovery of long-time macroscopic dynamics and thermodynamics of dissipative systems with particle fidelity is hampered by significant obstacles. These include the strong time-scale limitations inherent to particle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Zequn He , Celia Reina

Generative models have achieved remarkable progress with the emergence of flow matching (FM). It has demonstrated strong generative capabilities and attracted significant attention as a simulation-free flow-based framework capable of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Huynh Trinh Ngoc , Hoang Anh Nguyen Kim , Toan Nguyen Hai , Long Tran Quoc

Bayesian experimental design (BED) provides a principled framework for optimizing data collection by choosing experiments that are maximally informative about unknown parameters. However, existing methods cannot deal with the joint…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Sahel Iqbal , Simo Särkkä , Dominik Baumann

Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

Inference of fields defined in space and time from observational data is a core discipline in many scientific areas. This work approaches the problem in a Bayesian framework. The proposed method is based on statistically homogeneous random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-05 Philipp Frank , Reimar Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

This paper proposes a hierarchical, multi-resolution framework for the identification of model parameters and their spatially variability from noisy measurements of the response or output. Such parameters are frequently encountered in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 P. S. Koutsourelakis

Real-world clinical problems are often characterized by multimodal data, usually associated with incomplete views and limited sample sizes in their cohorts, posing significant limitations for machine learning algorithms. In this work, we…

We believe that a wide range of physical processes conspire to shape the observed galaxy population but we remain unsure of their detailed interactions. The semi-analytic model (SAM) of galaxy formation uses multi-dimensional…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-07 Yu Lu , H. J. Mo , Martin D. Weinberg , Neal Katz